Saturday 10 June 2023

Week 409 Review - Optibiotix drags the portfolio to a new all-time low despite Jubilee Metals rally.

With a welcome recovery from JLP:Jubilee Metals it looked like this could be a good week, until OPTI:Optibiotix lost another 1.4p and messed everything up. The deficit between cost and value widened by £1,579 to £132,544 and total value dropped to £51,189. This is the 7th week in a row the value has dropped. I really can't believe it is this bad.

Worst performer was WHR:Warehouse REIT dropping 14% after lackluster results. They are 20% down now, but fundamentals are strong and the dividend is good, so I'll keep hold of them. I've abandoned my 15% drop equals sell rule for magic formula shares as I would have sold virtually all of them given the state of the current market, and I won't take all those paper losses as I'd just replace them with something that's likely to do the same.

OPTI:Optibiotix dropped 9% in some of my holdings. If there's no news soon we're going to sink like a brick.

EDV:Endeavour Mining also dropped 9%, which is unusual for this normally popular share.

SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics has also been a disaster and dropped another 5% this week to go 66% down. All my microbiome investments are utterly rubbish. So much for it being the future!

There was some good news. APAX:Apax Global Alpha climbed 8% and is only 6% down now.

Share of the Week is JLP:Jubilee Metals, which climbed 12%, 16% and 26% depending on the holding, and one of them is in profit!

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 45 of year 8.

Weekly Change
Cash £218.04 -£13.64
Portfolio cost £87,354.57 +£509.89
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£22,257.57 (-74.5%) -£858.62
Potential profits £92.77 +£92.77
Yr 8 Dividends £96.83 +£0
Yr 8 Interest £1.40 +£0
Yr 8 Profit from sales -£10,795.53 +£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit -£1,034.35 (-21.0%) +£21.96
Total Dividends £11,865.75 +£0
Total Interest £1.40 +£0
Total Profit from sales £17,298.53 +£0
Average monthly cash profit £305.08 (6.2%) -£0.92
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance 49% +0%

I won £375 on the premium bonds and Nationwide are dishing out £100 dividend, so I added £500 to my ISA and bought 7,002 shares in JLP:Jubilee Metals at 7.14p costing £509.89. Very happy to say that they promptly rose to 8.5p, and so with my other AJ Bell ISA holding bought at 8.05p they are now up by 9% making £92 potential profit. Hopefully the news flow will continue and we can get back to the 15p range this should be at.

Not much else happened other than dropping £858 in value.


Very depressing chart


Quite remarkable how keen we are to follow the trend line

The SIPP looks like this after week 393 overall and week 29 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash £544.51
-£9.89
Portfolio cost £94,615.50
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£27,977.62 (-70.4%) -£797.17
Potential profits £547.96
+£8.81
Yr 8 Dividends £180.94
+£0
Yr 8 Interest £2.15
+£0
Yr 8 Profit from sales -£9,820.16
+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit -£1,451.67 (-26.9%) +£50.32
Total Dividends £14,323.72
+£0
Total Interest £2.40
+£0
Total Profit from sales £10,613.59
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £263.15 (4.9%) -£0.78
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance 37% +0%

Very little happened other than paying monthly fees and watching the value drop by £797. Potential profits went up by a massive £8 thanks to a 4% rise in CAML:Central Asia Metals countering the losses elsewhere.



Pretty much the same as the ISA

The trading account looks like this after week 359 overall and week 47 of year 7.




Weekly Change
Cash £20.26
+£0
Portfolio cost £1,763.50
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£954.11 (-45.9%) +£76.69
Potential profits £0
+£0
Year 7 Dividends £0.00
+£0
Year 7 Interests £0.03
+£0
Year 7 Profit -£1,157.99
+£0
Yr 7 proj avg monthly profit -£106.70 (-72.6%) +£2.32
Dividends £60.10
+£0
Interest £0.03
+£0
Profit from sales -£930.69
+£0
Average monthly cash profit -£10.51 (-7.2%) +£0.03
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)

Five weeks left to go in Year 7 and JLP:Jubilee Metals may be staging a rally. It can't rise enough to remove the £1,157 loss suffered when DDDD:4D Pharma went bust, but if I get a chance to sell then it could make it look a little less desperate. Certainly the £76 rise in value was very welcome, despite OPTI:Optibiotix trying to remove it.


A rare tick up.


Not enough to get back above the trend line.

We're expecting PBX:Probiotix results any day now. If they are anything short of spectacular then I'm very worried for the future of my microbiome investments. We've been assured over and over that things are going well for them, so anything short of a decent profit will be a disaster for the PBX and OPTI share prices. I'm almost dreading the RNS, but at least we'll be put out of our misery when it finally lands.

Monday 5 June 2023

Week 408 Review - Yet another down week and yet another new all-time low.

This week the deficit between cost and value only increased by £978, which is good by recent standards. It is now £130,965 and value is just £52,258 despite recent injections of cash.

Only one big mover this week, and fortunately it was upwards, so EDV:Endeavour Mining wins Share of the Week after a 9% surge into profit.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 44 of year 8.

Weekly Change
Cash £231.68 +£0
Portfolio cost £86,844.68 +£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£22,606.30 (-74.0%) -£469.33
Potential profits £0 +£0
Yr 8 Dividends £96.83 +£0
Yr 8 Interest £1.40 +£0
Yr 8 Profit from sales -£10,795.53 +£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit -£1,056.31 (-21.6%) +£24.56
Total Dividends £11,865.75 +£0
Total Interest £1.40 +£0
Total Profit from sales £17,298.53 +£0
Average monthly cash profit £306.00 (6.3%) -£0.75
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance 49% +0%

Nothing really happened apart from the usual drop in value.



The SIPP looks like this after week 392 overall and week 28 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash £554.40
+£253.18
Portfolio cost £94,615.50
+£2,010.82
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£28,774.79 (-69.6%) -£489.64
Potential profits £539.15
+£123.89
Yr 8 Dividends £180.94
+£13.99
Yr 8 Interest £2.15
+£0
Yr 8 Profit from sales -£9,820.16
+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit -£1,501.99 (-27.8%) +£57.87
Total Dividends £14,323.72
+£13.99
Total Interest £2.40
+£0
Total Profit from sales £10,613.59
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £263.93 (4.9%) -£0.52
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance 37% -1%

I added £2,000 from my work pension and used it to buy 1060 shares in CAML:Central Asia Metals at 188.572p costing £2,010.81. They are my favourite company and are now debt free and generating large amounts of cash. They will either return it to shareholders or buy another site. I hoped to re-invest my JLP:Jubilee Metals profits here but that's not going to happen for a while if ever, so I abandoned magic formula to get more of these. Having said that, they are in my magic formula top 30 anyway.

Potential profits went up £123 and I got a £13 dividend from UKW:Greencoat UK Wind. Cash went up as I added my £250 monthly savings but is hasn't been invested yet. Compound performance dropped by 1% as it's measured against total injection amount.



The trading account looks like this after week 358 overall and week 46 of year 7.




Weekly Change
Cash £20.26
+£0
Portfolio cost £1,763.50
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£877.42 (-50.2%) -£19.76
Potential profits £0
+£0
Year 7 Dividends £0.00
+£0
Year 7 Interests £0.03
+£0
Year 7 Profit -£1,157.99
+£0
Yr 7 proj avg monthly profit -£109.02 (-74.2%) +£2.42
Dividends £60.10
+£0
Interest £0.03
+£0
Profit from sales -£930.69
+£0
Average monthly cash profit -£10.54 (-7.2%) +£0.03
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)

Still dropping like a stone



That finishes the big catch-up of 5 weeks of utter despair. Actually, it's 2 years of utter despair, and no sign of any improvement. I'm writing this on Monday and I'm already down £778 on the week.

Week 407 Review - Optibiotix drags me to a new all-time low.

This week it was the turn of OPTI:Optibiotix to drag down the portfolio value with a 1p fall. That resulted in a widening of the deficit between cost and value by £2,092.35 to a new record of  £129,986.44, with total value just £51,226.42.

PSN:Persimmon was the worst performer, dropping 6%.

CEY:Centamin had been doing better recently, but dropped 5% to go 15% down.

No share did enough to win Share of the Week.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 43 of year 8.

Weekly Change
Cash£231.68+£36.60
Portfolio cost£86,844.68+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£23,075.63(-73.4%)-£962.51
Potential profits£0-£3.07
Yr 8 Dividends£96.83+£36.60
Yr 8 Interest£1.40+£0
Yr 8 Profit from sales-£10,795.53+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit-£1,080.87(-22.1%)+£30.75
Total Dividends£11,865.75+£36.60
Total Interest£1.40+£0
Total Profit from sales£17,298.53+£0
Average monthly cash profit£306.75(6.3%)-£0.24
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance49%+0%

Big drop in value, potential profits all wiped out, but nice dividend from CAML:Central Asia Metals of £36.



The SIPP looks like this after week 391 overall and week 27 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash£301.22
+£62.50
Portfolio cost£92,604.68
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£27,253.61(-70.6%)-£1,095.24
Potential profits£415.26
+£3.35
Yr 8 Dividends£166.95
+£0
Yr 8 Interest£2.15
+£0
Yr 8 Profit from sales-£9,820.16
+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit-£1,559.86(-29.9%)+£60.00
Total Dividends£14,309.73
+£0
Total Interest£2.40
+£0
Total Profit from sales£10,613.59
+£0
Average monthly cash profit£264.45(5.1%)-£0.67
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance38%+0%

Big drop in value as usual, tiny increase in potential profits, and £62 tax rebate to boost the cash.



The trading account looks like this after week 357 overall and week 45 of year 7.




Weekly Change
Cash£20.26
+£0
Portfolio cost£1,763.50
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£897.18(-49.1%)-£34.60
Potential profits£0
+£0
Year 7 Dividends£0.00
+£0
Year 7 Interests£0.03
+£0
Year 7 Profit-£1,157.99
+£0
Yr 7 proj avg monthly profit-£111.44(-75.8%)+£2.54
Dividends£60.10
+£0
Interest£0.03
+£0
Profit from sales-£930.69
+£0
Average monthly cash profit-£10.57(-7.2%)+£0.03
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)

Same old story.



Nothing good to say. Just hoping for some sort of miracle to turn this mess around.

Week 406 Review - Both Jubilee Metals and Probiotix drop and usher in new all-time low.

Sounds like a broken record. This week the deficit between cost and value widened by £1,977 to £127,894 and total value dropped to £53,318.

JLP:Jubilee Metals was worst performer and is one of my biggest holdings. They dropped 6% and caused half the deficit.

PBX:Probiotix Health are another of my biggest holdings and dropped 5%.

Thankfully we have a Share of the Week, with III:3i Group climbing 6% to go 18% up altogether.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 42 of year 8.

Weekly Change
Cash£195.08+£29.03
Portfolio cost£86,844.68+£499.96
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£24,038.14(-72.3%)-£944.03
Potential profits£3.07-£9.35
Yr 8 Dividends£60.23+£31.03
Yr 8 Interest£1.40+£0.11
Yr 8 Profit from sales-£10,795.53+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit-£1,111.62(-22.8%)+£30.18
Total Dividends£11,829.15+£31.03
Total Interest£1.40+£0.11
Total Profit from sales£17,298.53+£0
Average monthly cash profit£306.99(6.3%)-£0.44
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance49%+0%

I added £500 to my ISA following a premium bond win and invested it in JLP:Jubilee Metals. Guess what - I ibought them just before the price dropped from 8p to 7.4p. I bought 6,087 shares at 8.05p costing 499.95.

I got £12 dividend from GAW:Games Workshop and £19.03 from CAPD:Capital, so my magic formula shares are contributing something. Potential profits now only £3 though.



If the chart just continues downwards, there's no point in me commenting.

The SIPP looks like this after week 390 overall and week 26 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash£238.72
-£0.67
Portfolio cost£92,604.68
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£28,348.85(-69.4%)-£989.11
Potential profits£411.91
+£15.71
Yr 8 Dividends£166.95
+£0
Yr 8 Interest£2.15
+£0.21
Yr 8 Profit from sales-£9,820.16
+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit-£1,619.86(-31.1%)+£64.67
Total Dividends£14,309.73
+£0
Total Interest£2.40
+£0.21
Total Profit from sales£10,613.59
+£0
Average monthly cash profit£265.12(5.1%)-£0.69
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance38%+0%

Nothing to see here. Small £15 increase in potential profits and big drop in value.



The trading account looks like this after week 356 overall and week 44 of year 7.




Weekly Change
Cash£20.26
+£0.01
Portfolio cost£1,763.50
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£931.78(-47.2%)-£44.50
Potential profits£0
+£0
Year 7 Dividends£0.00
+£0
Year 7 Interests£0.03
+£0.01
Year 7 Profit-£1,157.99
+£0
Yr 7 proj avg monthly profit-£113.98(-77.6%)+£2.65
Dividends£60.10
+£0
Interest£0.03
+£0.01
Profit from sales-£930.69
+£0
Average monthly cash profit-£10.60(-7.2%)+£0.03
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)

Yet again we drop...



No point in trying to create drama and tension - we know this horror story continues for the next 2 weeks...

Week 405 Review - Drop in Jubilee Metals brings new all-time low

The recovery in JLP:Jubilee Metals was short lived, and the drop down to 8p this week ushered in a new record deficit between cost and value of £125,916, as widening of £811 since last week. The total portfolio value is now just £55,222.

By far the worst performer was ANTO:Antofagasta, but the 11% drop is mostly because this is a small installment of my monthly SIPP investment weighed by spread and commission if I were to sell now, so the next 3 months will get cheaper shares if the price continues to fall.

As mentioned above, JLP:Jubilee Metals dropped 5%

No shares increased enough to deserve Share of the Week.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 41 of year 8.

Weekly Change
Cash£166.05-£3.70
Portfolio cost£86,344.72+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£24,482.21(-71.6%)-£385.20
Potential profits£12.42+£7.70
Yr 8 Dividends£29.20+£0
Yr 8 Interest£1.29+£0
Yr 8 Profit from sales-£10,795.53+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit-£1,141.80(-23.4%)+£28.55
Total Dividends£11,798.12+£0
Total Interest£1.29+£0
Total Profit from sales£17,298.53+£0
Average monthly cash profit£307.43(6.3%)-£0.76
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance49%+0%

Given I'm losing over £60k, an increase in potential profits by £7 to £12 is a joke. 



Still following the trend line down

The SIPP looks like this after week 389 overall and week 25 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash£239.39
-£237.00
Portfolio cost£92,604.68
+£237.00
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£29,337.96(-68.3%)-£389.15
Potential profits£396.20
+£22.37
Yr 8 Dividends£166.95
+£0
Yr 8 Interest£1.94
+£0
Yr 8 Profit from sales-£9,820.16
+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit-£1,684.53(-32.3%)+£70.19
Total Dividends£14,309.73
+£0
Total Interest£2.19
+£0
Total Profit from sales£10,613.59
+£0
Average monthly cash profit£265.81(5.1%)-£0.69
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance38%+0%

The £237 was my first regular saving purchase of ANTO:Antofagasta, with £22 increase in potential profits not much consolation after yet another drop.



Same as ISA

The trading account looks like this after week 355 overall and week 43 of year 7.




Weekly Change
Cash£20.25
+£0
Portfolio cost£1,763.50
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£976.28(-44.6%)-£37.09
Potential profits£0
+£0
Year 7 Dividends£0.00
+£0
Year 7 Interests£0.02
+£0
Year 7 Profit-£1,157.99
+£0
Yr 7 proj avg monthly profit-£116.63(-79.4%)+£2.77
Dividends£60.10
+£0
Interest£0.02
+£0
Profit from sales-£930.69
+£0
Average monthly cash profit-£10.63(-7.2%)+£0.03
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)

Dreadful - so glad most of this is in JLP:Jubilee Metals with current disastrous performance.



And there we go - below the trend line.

A new all-time low - can it get any worse than this?

Week 404 Review - Relatively flat, but drop in Jubilee Metals makes it another down week.

A relatively flat week, but JLP:Jubilee Metals lost all its recent gains and so the deficit between cost and value widened by £415 to £125,105. It's not an all-time low, but not far off, with portfolio value falling to £55,370.

The 5% drop in JLP:Jubilee Metals was my worst performer, at least joint worst with PLUS:Plus 500 which also dropped 5% to go 17% down. Good job I've abandoned my "sell at 15% down" strategy else I'd have nothing left, and seeing as everything I buy drops 15% I'd soon run out of cash.

APAX:Apax Global Alpha climbed 6% and is only 5% down now.

CEY:Centamin also went up 6% and wins Share of the Week because it has rarely done anything noteworthy before.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 40 of year 8.

Weekly Change
Cash£166.05-£3.70
Portfolio cost£86,344.72+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£24,867.41(-71.2%)-£337.33
Potential profits£4.72-£18.15
Yr 8 Dividends£29.20+£0
Yr 8 Interest£1.29+£0.05
Yr 8 Profit from sales-£10,795.53+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit-£1,170.35(-24.0%)+£29.60
Total Dividends£11,798.12+£0
Total Interest£1.29+£0.05
Total Profit from sales£17,298.53+£0
Average monthly cash profit£308.19(6.3%)-£0.81
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance49%+0%

I think that's a pretty flat week. ISA charges minus interest account for the drop in cash, and potential profits are now only £4.



The SIPP looks like this after week 388 overall and week 24 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash£476.39
+£281.42
Portfolio cost£92,367.69
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£29,490.11(-68.1%)-£41.40
Potential profits£373.83
+£10.41
Yr 8 Dividends£166.95
+£42.00
Yr 8 Interest£1.94
+£0.16
Yr 8 Profit from sales-£9,820.16
+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit-£1,754.72(-33.7%)+£82.22
Total Dividends£14,309.73
+£42.00
Total Interest£2.19
+£0.16
Total Profit from sales£10,613.59
+£0
Average monthly cash profit£266.50(5.1%)-£0.34
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance38%+0%

Cash went up as I added £250 towards my monthly savings but it hasn't been invested yet. The £42 dividends were from PSN:Persimmon, plus a small amount of interest. Portfolio value hardly dropped at all, and potential profits sneaked up £10.



The trading account looks like this after week 354 overall and week 42 of year 7.




Weekly Change
Cash£20.25
+£0
Portfolio cost£1,763.50
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£1,013.37(-42.5%)-£37.08
Potential profits£0
+£0
Year 7 Dividends£0.00
+£0
Year 7 Interests£0.02
+£0
Year 7 Profit-£1,157.99
+£0
Yr 7 proj avg monthly profit-£119.40(-81.2%)+£2.92
Dividends£60.10
+£0
Interest£0.02
+£0
Profit from sales-£930.69
+£0
Average monthly cash profit-£10.66(-7.3%)+£0.03
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)

Utter misery and despair.



I'm 5 weeks behind publishing as I've been away, but still taking snapshots. I warn you now, the next 4 weeks don't get any better!