Saturday 22 April 2023

Week 402 Review - A bad week saved by Jubilee Metals

Not a great week across the portfolio, with most shares down by a few percent, but a 1p rise in JLP:Jubilee Metals nullified all that and resulted in an improvement in the deficit between cost and value of £858 to £123,941 and portfolio value of £56,919.

Most of my metal producers were down this week, with CEY:Centamin and RIO:Rio Tinto both falling 5%.

JLP:Jubilee Metals bucked that trend and increased by 10% in some of my holdings. I'm hopeful that with other miners dropping this is a sign the seller has gone and there's hope for a recovery.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 38 of year 8.

Weekly Change
Cash £169.75 -£1,058.64
Portfolio cost £86,344.72 +£1,056.72
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£25,809.63 (-70.1%) +£398.95
Potential profits £0 +£0
Yr 8 Dividends £29.20 +£0
Yr 8 Interest £1.24 +£0
Yr 8 Profit from sales -£10,795.53 +£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit -£1,231.52 (-25.2%) +£33.07
Total Dividends £11,798.12 +£0
Total Interest £1.24 +£0
Total Profit from sales £17,298.53 +£0
Average monthly cash profit £309.77 (6.3%) -£0.79
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance 49% +0%

I transferred my cash from the AJ Bell dealing account to the ISA and bought back my GAW:Games Workshop shares, except I increased my holding from 10 to 11 bought at 9468.793p and costing £1,056.73. Happily that was 122p cheaper than what I sold them for last week, which is a very rare occurrence where I got lucky on timing.

PAGE:Page Group and WHR:Warehouse REIT are only down by 4%, so I'm hoping I can bed and ISA those soon. I'll only lose a few shares to pay the commission, but I want to register the sale as a profit rather than a loss, so I'll wait until they are in the black.

Portfolio value increased a little thanks to JLP:Jubilee Metals, but dragged back by just about everything else. One of my JLP holdings is only down by 7% so I'm hoping to sell that one for a modest profit so I can get back into CAML:Central Asia Metals which is a massive bargain at the moment.



Still woeful, but above the trend line. I dream of being significantly above the trend line instead of continuing its downwards momentum.

The SIPP looks like this after week 386 overall and week 22 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash £194.97
+£63.30
Portfolio cost £92,367.69
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£29,662.14 (-67.9%) +£385.25
Potential profits £100.98
-£18.04
Yr 8 Dividends £124.95
+£31.51
Yr 8 Interest £1.78
+£0
Yr 8 Profit from sales -£9,820.16
+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit -£1,920.43 (-37.0%) +£97.81
Total Dividends £14,267.73
+£31.51
Total Interest £2.03
+£0
Total Profit from sales £10,613.59
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £267.53 (5.2%) -£0.34
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance 38% +0%

Hardly anything changed. The small increase in value was again thanks to JLP:Jubilee Platinum and about £4k worth is almost at the point I can sell to I can add more CAML:Central Asia Metals. It will still leave me with £6k invested in JLP, which is as much as my nerves can take.

I had a £31 dividend from RIO:Rio Tinto, which was nice, but potential profits dropped by £18 as EDV:Endeavour Mining lost a little ground..



Barely above the trend line

The trading account looks like this after week 352 overall and week 40 of year 7.




Weekly Change
Cash £20.25
+£0
Portfolio cost £1,763.50
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£1,062.80 (-39.7%) +£74.17
Potential profits £0
+£0
Year 7 Dividends £0.00
+£0
Year 7 Interests £0.02
+£0
Year 7 Profit -£1,157.99
+£0
Yr 7 proj avg monthly profit -£125.37 (-85.3%) +£3.22
Dividends £60.10
+£0
Interest £0.02
+£0
Profit from sales -£930.69
+£0
Average monthly cash profit -£10.72 (-7.3%) +£0.03
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)

A rare good week thanks to JLP:Jubilee Metals climbing 8% in this account. Still a long way off being able to sell, and I really need to make about 100% to try and claw back some of my losses.



I prefer looking at the bottom chart as the top one is too depressing.

There's been more buying of PBX:Probiotix in the market this week. I can't buy any more - in fact I won't sink any more into microbiome shares as I have too much invested in one area and it's all doing rubbish. If PBX recovers then my portfolio value will increase by quite a lot, so I'll keep hold of the 100,000 shares I own and claw back £1,000 for every penny it recovers. £16k of my current losses are down to PBX, £1,700 down to SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics, a staggering £90k down to OPTI:Optibiotix and I lost £18.5k forever when DDDD:4D Pharma went bust. That's not a great track record for one sector that I was convinced was the future that would make my fortune.

Sunday 16 April 2023

Week 401 Review - At last a positive week after 10 weeks of woe

I was beginning to think I would never be able to report a positive week again after 10 weeks of utter misery, but this week most of the magic formula shares went up, and JLP:Jubilee Metals recovered all last week's losses to account for much of the rise. The deficit between cost and value improved by £1,045 to £124,799 and total value increased to £55,999.

The only share that dropped by 5% was III:3i Group, but that's not really an accurate picture as I pretty much doubled my holding this week, and at the upper end of the price range, so it wasn;t really a 5% drop.

JLP:Jubilee Metals recovered the 5% lost last week. Given that this is the first major increase since the warrants were bought, could it be that the seller has finally run out?

Share of the Week goes to PAGE:Page Group, which climbed 6% and is only 2% down now.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 37 of year 8.

Weekly Change
Cash£1,228.39+£971.54
Portfolio cost£85,288.00-£929.02
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£24,353.96(-71.4%)+£464.56
Potential profits£0+£0
Yr 8 Dividends£29.20+£0
Yr 8 Interest£1.24+£1.12
Yr 8 Profit from sales-£10,795.53+£20.15
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit-£1,264.59(-25.9%)+£37.23
Total Dividends£11,798.12+£0
Total Interest£1.24+£1.12
Total Profit from sales£17,298.53+£20.15
Average monthly cash profit£310.56(6.4%)-£0.59
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance49%+0%

I sold my holding in GAW:Games Workshop because I wanted to transfer it to my ISA. Normally I use Bed & ISA, but because I only have 10 shares, they would have only bought back 9 and used the other towards commission, when I actually want to increase my holding to 11. I decided to forego the extra commission in order to do this, but AJ Bell are so slow to recognise the cash that the markets were closed and I had to hold on to the cash until next week.

I sold my 10 shares at 9591.2075p making £20.15 (2.6%) profit. Nothing to write home about, but my plan is to bed all my shares into my ISA as soon as they get into profit.

AJ Bell paid me £1.12 interest, which they give quarterly.



I think that can still be regarded as following the trend line as it's a very small tick up.

The SIPP looks like this after week 385 overall and week 21 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash£131.67
-£282.11
Portfolio cost£92,367.69
+£523.22
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£29,276.89(-68.3%)+£544.09
Potential profits£119.02
+£12.63
Yr 8 Dividends£93.44
+£0
Yr 8 Interest£1.78
+£1.11
Yr 8 Profit from sales-£9,820.16
+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit-£2,018.24(-38.9%)+£98.98
Total Dividends£14,236.22
+£0
Total Interest£2.03
+£1.11
Total Profit from sales£10,613.59
+£0
Average monthly cash profit£267.87(5.2%)-£0.80
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance38%+0%

My monthly investment went up to £250, but I forgot to change the amount on the actual investment, so the transaction only went for 7 shares in III:3i Group at 1682.0485p costing £119.83. However, when the unspent £131 was added to the cash I had in the SIPP, it was enough to bring my investment up to £1,000, so I bought another 23 at 1702.05p costing £403.38. That's completed my purchases of this share, so I changed my monthly investment to ANTO:Antofagasta, which I got stopped out of a while back and want to get back in again.

As with the ISA, AJ Bell paid out £1.11 interest, and potential profits sneaked up another £12.



Bouncing off the trend line

The trading account looks like this after week 351 overall and week 39 of year 7.




Weekly Change
Cash£20.25
+£0
Portfolio cost£1,763.50
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£988.63(-43.9%)+£37.09
Potential profits£0
+£0
Year 7 Dividends£0.00
+£0
Year 7 Interests£0.02
+£0
Year 7 Profit-£1,157.99
+£0
Yr 7 proj avg monthly profit-£128.59(-87.5%)+£3.38
Dividends£60.10
+£0
Interest£0.02
+£0
Profit from sales-£930.69
+£0
Average monthly cash profit-£10.75(-7.3%)+£0.03
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)

A reversal of last week, with OPTI:Optibiotix flat and JLP:Jubilee Metals earning back what it lost last week. I'm hoping that means the JLP rot has stopped, but I'll believe it when I see it.



My charts definitely enjoy following trend lines!

The last few weeks I've been too depressed to write anything else. This week I'm not depressed but knackered after a hard day on the allotment, so no further thoughts.

Tuesday 11 April 2023

Week 400 Review - Yet another all-time low as Jubilee Metals continues to fall.

I wish I could write that the portfolio value had gone up, just for once, but I can't. Most shares dropped in value this week, in particular JLP:Jubilee Metals which is one of my biggest holdings. The result was a widening of the deficit between cost and value by £711 to £125,845 and drop in portfolio value to £54,670. I've lost about half of the money I put in since I started. So much for investing for the future.

Biggest drop was PAGE:Page Group which had almost gone into profit, but fell 6% this week and is now 8% down. Things are so bad that I consider anything that's less that 10% down is one of my most successful investments.

JLP:Jubilee Metals dropped another 5% and accounted for much of this week's loss. I was so convinced that once the warrants had been purchased the selling would stop, but I was very wrong, and they have dropped 40% since I invested £12,000.

SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics had another big fall after yet another week with absolutely no news. They dropped 5% and my holding is now 55% down.

Only one big riser this week, so Share of the Week goes to EDV:Endeavour Mining which climbed 6% after a 7% increase last week, and is now in profit. Shame CEY:Centamin isn't having the same rise as the price of gold soars.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 36 of year 8.

Weekly Change
Cash£256.85+£111.64
Portfolio cost£86,217.02+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£24,818.42(-71.2%)-£406.27
Potential profits£0-£28.02
Yr 8 Dividends£29.20+£11.64
Yr 8 Interest£0.12+£0
Yr 8 Profit from sales-£10,815.68+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit-£1,301.82(-26.7%)+£38.64
Total Dividends£11,798.12+£11.64
Total Interest£0.12+£0
Total Profit from sales£17,278.38+£0
Average monthly cash profit£311.15(6.4%)-£0.65
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance49%+0%

Cash went up as I added £100 when I opened an ISA with AJ Bell and also got £11.64 dividend from WHR:Warehous REIT. GAW:Games Workshop dropped back into loss and wiped out my potential profits, but compared to most weeks a drop of £406 is pretty flat.



Not even trying to fight the trend.

The SIPP looks like this after week 384 overall and week 20 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash£413.78
+£33.17
Portfolio cost£91,844.47
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£28,209.58(-69.3%)-£267.84
Potential profits£106.39
+£57.58
Yr 8 Dividends£93.44
+£33.17
Yr 8 Interest£0.67
+£0
Yr 8 Profit from sales-£9,820.16
+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit-£2,117.22(-40.9%)+£119.00
Total Dividends£14,236.22
+£33.17
Total Interest£0.92
+£0
Total Profit from sales£10,613.59
+£0
Average monthly cash profit£268.67(5.2%)-£0.33
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance38%+0%

Cash went up by £33 thanks to a £33.17 dividend from APAX:Apax Global Alpha, and potential profits went up by £57 as EDV:Endeavour Mining and UKW:Greencoat UK Wind both went into profit. Granted UKW only by 11p, but nice to have it green.




Just the same as the ISA.

The trading account looks like this after week 350 overall and week 38 of year 7.




Weekly Change
Cash£20.25
+£0
Portfolio cost£1,763.50
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£951.54(-46.0%)-£37.09
Potential profits£0
+£0
Year 7 Dividends£0.00
+£0
Year 7 Interests£0.02
+£0
Year 7 Profit-£1,157.99
+£0
Yr 7 proj avg monthly profit-£131.97(-89.8%)+£3.57
Dividends£60.10
+£0
Interest£0.02
+£0
Profit from sales-£930.69
+£0
Average monthly cash profit-£10.78(-7.3%)+£0.03
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)

JLP:Jubilee Metals is half my holding and dropped 5%, so value fell by £37. I need a blockbuster update from JLP or OPTI:Optibiotix to get this moving.



I suspect we will cross below the trend line next week and start flattening it.

As with previous weeks, I haven't the heart to write anything else or speculate on what might happen next week, as I can't remember the last time anything nice happened. I'm just bracing myself for the next lot of bad news.

Sunday 2 April 2023

Week 399 Review - A new all-time low despite recovery in magic formula shares

There was some recovery in magic formula shares this week, but a 1p drop in PBX:Probiotix and 0.5p drop in both JLP:Jubilee Metals and OPTI:Optibiotix meant all my largest holdings fell and the deficit widened by £2,197 to a new record of £125,134 and portfolio value dropped to £54,690. As with last week and all the recent weeks, I struggle to find the enthusiasm to write any more.

PBX:Probiotix Health was the worst performer in my recently bedded ISA shares which dropped 13%.

CAML:Central Asia Metals have been falling ever since I reluctantly sold most of my holding. If only I hadn't moved it all to JLP:Jubilee Metals which has fallen much more! This week CAML dropped another 5% to go 14% down.

JLP:Jubilee Metals dropped another 5% as my timing proves to be completely and utterly wrong.

Good news for GAW:Games Workshop, which climbed 6% and is now in profit by 3%. I'll be bedding into an ISA in April so may actually register a profitable sale.

EDV:Endeavour Mining climbed a healthy 7% as the gold price went up, and is almost in profit, down less than 1%.

III:3i Group went up 9% to go 10% up in my SIPP. Shame it's one of my smallest holdings, and shame I'm about to buy my monthly investment next week when the price is so high.

WHR:Warehouse REIT wins Share of the Week. It also climbed 9% and is still 8% down, but is a bigger holding than III so the rise was more satisfying.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 35 of year 8.

Weekly Change
Cash £145.21 +£117.47
Portfolio cost £86,217.02 +£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£25,224.69 (-70.7%) -£1,089.41
Potential profits £28.02 +£28.02
Yr 8 Dividends £17.56 +£17.47
Yr 8 Interest £0.12 +£0
Yr 8 Profit from sales -£10,815.68 +£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit -£1,340.46 (-27.5%) +£41.65
Total Dividends £11,786.48 +£17.47
Total Interest £0.12 +£0
Total Profit from sales £17,278.38 +£0
Average monthly cash profit £311.80 (6.4%) -£0.59
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance 49% +0%

I added £100 to my ISA to cover monthly fees for the next 12 months, as I won't be opening a new one with Hargreaves Lansdown, but spreading my risk between providers and opening one with AJ Bell. I also got a £17 dividend from ASHM:Ashmore Group, now I've started buying dividend paying shares in this account and not just the SIPP.

Much joy as GAW:Games Workshop goes into potential profit by £28.



Same old story of misery and decline

The SIPP looks like this after week 383 overall and week 19 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash£380.61
+£16.79
Portfolio cost£91,844.47
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£28,477.42(-69.0%)-£1,059.03
Potential profits£48.81
+£45.92
Yr 8 Dividends£60.27
+£16.79
Yr 8 Interest£0.67
+£0
Yr 8 Profit from sales-£9,820.16
+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit-£2,236.22(-43.2%)+£128.28
Total Dividends£14,203.05
+£16.79
Total Interest£0.92
+£0
Total Profit from sales£10,613.59
+£0
Average monthly cash profit£269.00(5.2%)-£0.51
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance38%+0%

Cash went up thanks to a £16 dividend from EDV:Endeavour Mining. and potential profits went up by £45 thanks to III:3i Group. A few more weeks and I'll need to change the sell value colour from crimson to red as we dip below 75% loss. It seems inevitable based on current trajectory.



Actually resting on the trend line which we've been following so relentlessly down.

The trading account looks like this after week 349 overall and week 37 of year 7.




Weekly Change
Cash£20.25
+£0
Portfolio cost£1,763.50
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£988.63(-43.9%)-£49.43
Potential profits£0
+£0
Year 7 Dividends£0.00
+£0
Year 7 Interests£0.02
+£0
Year 7 Profit-£1,157.99
+£0
Yr 7 proj avg monthly profit-£135.54(-92.2%)+£3.76
Dividends£60.10
+£0
Interest£0.02
+£0
Profit from sales-£930.69
+£0
Average monthly cash profit-£10.81(-7.4%)+£0.03
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)

All last weeks gains and a bit more were wiped out as everything fell. What a joke.



Even after realising all those losses, this is still determined to get back below the trend line and start flattening it.

As with all the recent weeks, I'm going through the motions writing this. I've lost all interest and enthusiasm. There's only so much you can take before you've had enough, and at the moment I've had enough.