Saturday, 24 May 2025

Week 511 Review - Jubilee Metals shines, but all is ruined by an Optibiotix discounted placing.

It was all looking so wonderful on Thursday, despite most of the portfolio being down. A big surge in JLP:Jubilee Metals saw value up by about £3.5k. However a discounted placing by OPTI:Optibiotix on Friday obliterated all that and we end the week down by £3,425. The deficit between cost and value is now £128,232 and between injection and value is £54,691. Portfolio value has dropped to £116,521.

Biggest faller was OPTI:Optibiotix, tanking 17% due to the placing being at a 20% discount. If the institution were so keen to invest, why couldn't they pay the 18p share price? The drop cost me over £6,000 so it's a good job other shares baled me out a bit,

I spoke too soon last week when I suggested the Hydrogen companies were recovering, as CWR:Ceres Power dropped 15% this week to go 71% down.

Similarly, AFC:AFC Energy dropped 7% to go 48% down.

FDM:FDM Group also dropped 7% after an AGM statement saying things are still a bit tough.

FXPO:Ferrexpo continue to bounce around, and dropped 7% this week but are still only 88% down so I still have to report on them.

SCT:Softcat dropped 5% for no obvious reason, but are still 6% in profit.

IPX:Impax Asset Management have been creeping back lately, with another 5% rise this week after reasonable interim results and announcing a share buy-back scheme.

PAF:Pan African Resources got hammered last week, but recovered 9% of those losses to go 66% up.

Share of the Week by a mile is JLP:Jubilee Metals which went up 14% just a week after going up 13%, taking some of my SIPP holdings into profit. Platinum prices are rising, so they are likely to start processing the huge tailings stockpile, and we should get results on the copper grades next week. That's the danger point - JLP have a habit of shooting themselves in the foot - I'm nervous!

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 43 of year 11.

Weekly Change
Cash£153.02+£32.85
Portfolio cost£114,352.47+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£44,709.34(-60.9%)-£1,709.82
Potential profits£0+£0
Yr 10 Dividends£180.12+£32.85
Yr 10 Interest£1.11            +£0
Yr 10 Profit from sales£327.55+£0
Yr 10 proj avg monthly profit£42.98(0.6%)+£2.36
Total Dividends£12,488.07+£32.85
Total Interest£7.91    +£0
Total Profit from sales£17,602.85+£0
Average monthly cash profit£250.58(3.5%)-£0.21
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance35%+0%

Cash went up thanks to a £32 CAML:Central Asia Metals dividend, but OPTI:Optibiotix tanked the portfolio.


Sliding downwards again.


Still above the trend line but following it down.


The SIPP looks like this after week 495 overall and week 27 of year 10.




Weekly Change
Cash£536.22
+£421.04
Portfolio cost£129,712.16
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£71,122.75(-45.2%)-£1,715.82
Potential profits£6,373.87
+£882.27
Yr 10 Dividends£939.02
+£283.54
Yr 10 Interest£2.23
+£0
Yr 10 Profit from sales£2,375.87
+£0
Yr 10 proj avg monthly profit£513.08(7.2%)+£27.53
Total Dividends£17,055.67
+£283.54
Total Interest£15.13
+£0
Total Profit from sales£19,383.81
+£0
Average monthly cash profit£305.99(4.3%)+£1.87
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance41%+1%

Cash went up £421 thanks to a tax rebate, and £272 dividend from CAML:Central Asia Metals, £5 from ALPH:Alpha Group, and £5 from SCT:Softcat. I love getting the CAML dividend! They announced a new purchase in USA this week and it hardly touched the share price, which is massively undervalued. Potential profits soared by £882 thanks to PAF:Pan African Resources and JLP:Jubilee Metals.


Direction well and truly changed and momentum lost.


Almost touching the trend line. Grim.


Well another defeat dragged from the jaws of victory. On Thursday the portfolio value was finally more than the deficit, but not any more.

My only hope for next week is that the reasons for the OPTI:Optibiotix placing are explained and the price drifts back up to the 17.5p from last week, as there some positives in the RNS. Given Slimbiome was meant to be the side product while SweetBiotix led the way, it seems Slimbiome is increasing sales worldwide and might not need SweetBiotix to do anything. Given so far it hasn't, then we may need Slimbiome.

Meanwhile JLP:Jubilee Metals had a bad day on Friday, losing some of the gains from the rest of the week. This has sparked fears the seller is not quite done. We'll see what happens next week. I'm nervous but excited too.

Wednesday, 21 May 2025

Week 510 Review - Jubilee Metals may have finally woken up.

Not a bad week, despite OPTI:Optibiotix dropping 0.5p, The deficit between cost and value narrowed by £1,018 to £124,806 and the deficit between injection and value reduced to £51,720. Total portfolio value increased to £119,493.

Worst performer was PAF:Pan African Resources which gave up most of last week's gains. Gold hasn't dropped 13% in price so I don't know why these have.

III:3i Group fell 5% in a rare pullback for my most successful investment.

SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics fell yet another 5% as there is still no news on anyone using their lysate.

AFC:AFC Energy had another good week, climbing 6% to go 44% down.

IPX:Impax Asset Management recovered another 7% but are 62% down.

AJB:AJ Bell went up 9% and they are bow 58% in profit.

CWR:Ceres Power had another good week as maybe hydrogen shares are being given another chance. They are still 66% down.

FOUR:4imprint plummeted after a lukewarm future looking statement a few months ago, but recovered 13% this week and are now 35% down.

Share of the Week is JLP:Jubilee Metals, which also went up 13% but is a way larger holding and one I've been waiting to turn around for two years.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 42 of year 11.

Weekly Change
Cash£120.17+£0.85
Portfolio cost£114,352.47+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£46,419.16(-59.4%)+£688.98
Potential profits£0+£0
Yr 10 Dividends£147.27+£8.93
Yr 10 Interest£1.11            +£0.02
Yr 10 Profit from sales£327.55+£0
Yr 10 proj avg monthly profit£40.62(0.6%)-£0.90
Total Dividends£12,455.22+£8.93
Total Interest£7.91    +£0.02
Total Profit from sales£17,602.85+£0
Average monthly cash profit£250.79(3.5%)-£0.48
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance35%+0%

Most of the £688 rise is thanks to JLP:Jubilee Metals, which is my 2nd biggest holding in the ISA. I also got an £8 dividend from CAPD:Capital.


I'm doing the write-up on my laptop, which makes the charts gigantic at original size, so I had to use "Large" which naturally means they are smaller.


Almost back to where we were last week.


The SIPP looks like this after week 494 overall and week 26 of year 10.




Weekly Change
Cash£115.18
-£239.71
Portfolio cost£129,712.16
+£231.11
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£72,838.57(-43.8%)+£329.27
Potential profits£5,491.60
-£560.79
Yr 10 Dividends£655.48
+£10.98
Yr 10 Interest£2.23
+£0.11
Yr 10 Profit from sales£2,375.87
+£0
Yr 10 proj avg monthly profit£485.55(6.8%)-£20.92
Total Dividends£16,772.13
+£10.98
Total Interest£15.13
+£0.11
Total Profit from sales£19,383.81
+£0
Average monthly cash profit£304.12(4.2%)-£0.69
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance40%+0%

I did my monthly investment, buying 12 shares in BHP:BHP Group at 1913.44p costing £231.11. I despair at how often the price of my monthly investment soars just before I invest, then sinks straight after, It's almost fishy. That's all my BHP shares bought now, so I'm switching to FOUR:4imprint as I like them and think they are cheap.

The value didn't go up as much as the ISA as it has fewer JLP:Jubilee Metals. Potential profits dropped £560 largely due to PAF:Pan African Resources.

I got £10 dividends from from CAPD:Capital and 11p interest.


Flattish again


No longer parallel to the trend line, but not exactly zooming upwards.


Good to have caught up, but already half way through week 511. Happy to say that so far JLP:Jubilee Metals is continuing to climb. Could the big sellers have finally cleared out and given us a chance to recover?

Week 509 Review - First down week for a while.

Not a bad week for most of the portfolio, but a 1.5p drop for OPTI:Optibiotix and another big drop for SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutix means the first down week for a while, with the deficit between cost and value widening by £2,158 to £125,825 and the deficit between injection and value widened to £52,730. Total portfolio value dropped to £118,482.

Worst performer was FXPO:Ferrexpo, dropping 21%, although beats me why it went up in the first place. Unfortunately it's only 87% down so I still have to report on it.

OPTI:Optibiotix dropped 8% and was the main reason my portfolio ended the week down. There is unrest among shareholders which isn't helping things one bit.

BPM:BP Marsh & Partners dropped 7% on the back of a significant institutional investor dumping a big portion of its holding in a placing at a discount.

GSK:GSK dropped 5%, presumably on tariff fears.

TLOU:Tlou Energy fell 5% and seems to be drifting down until we get some positive news.

ALU:Alumasc Group and SCT:Softcat both went up 5%, and are both in-profit magic formula shares.

IPX:Impax Asset Management went up 7%, but these are still down 64%.

ALPH:Alpha Group went up 11% after news someone wants to buy them.

PAF:Pan African Resources went up 13% as gold soared, and they are now 74% up.

CWR:Ceres Power went up 15% but are still 69% down.

Share of the Week is AFC:AFC Energy which zoomed up 17%, maybe due to closing shorts, but they are still 47% down.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 41 of year 11.

Weekly Change
Cash£119.32+£0
Portfolio cost£114,352.47+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£45,730.18(-60.0%)-£1,736.33
Potential profits£0-£58.72
Yr 10 Dividends£138.34+£0
Yr 10 Interest£1.09            +£0
Yr 10 Profit from sales£327.55+£0
Yr 10 proj avg monthly profit£41.52(0.6%)-£1.04
Total Dividends£12,446.29+£0
Total Interest£7.89+£0
Total Profit from sales£17,602.85+£0
Average monthly cash profit£251.27(3.5%)-£0.50
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance35%+0%

Most of the drop in value is OPTI:Optibiotix, and as SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics collapses, all my potential profits are wiped out - again,


I knew it was too good to last.


Still above the trend line, but not enough to start dragging it up.


The SIPP looks like this after week 493 overall and week 25 of year 10.




Weekly Change
Cash£354.89
+£11.00
Portfolio cost£129,481.05
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£72,278.19(-44.2%)-£422.44
Potential profits£6,052.39
+£951.24
Yr 10 Dividends£644.50
+£11.00
Yr 10 Interest£2.12
+£0
Yr 10 Profit from sales£2,375.87
+£0
Yr 10 proj avg monthly profit£506.47(7.1%)-£19.11
Total Dividends£16,761.15
+£11.00
Total Interest£15.02
+£0
Total Profit from sales£19,383.81
+£0
Average monthly cash profit£304.81(4.3%)-£0.52
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance40%+0%

I got an £11 dividend from from GAW:Games Workshop, and losses are only £422 thanks to big rises in some of my magic formula shares, resulting in potential profits rising £951.


That's almost flat.


Same angle as the trend line, and perilously close to it.


I'm 2 weeks late writing this so nothing else to say.

Sunday, 4 May 2025

Week 508 Review - A good week slightly spoiled by a big drop in SkinBioTherapeutics.

A pretty good week, with most shares up. A few major holdings were down, which lowered the gains to a £2,873 reduction in the deficit between cost and value to £123,666 and a reduction in deficit between injection and value to £50,582. Total portfolio value increased to £120,630.

Worst performer was SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics which dropped 13%, but that was on the back of a 24% rise last week. It hammered my ISA potential profits though, dropping from £847 to £58.

Fellow microbiome share PBX:Probiotix Health had a second bad week in a row, dropping 7%, with most of my holding now down 68%.

TRX:Tissue Regenix continued the relentless slide and dropped another 6% to go 77% down. I'm so glad they announced they were thinking of selling the company which has generated a 50% drop in value since.

The rest was good news. There were no real reasons for most of the increases as far as I could see.

ALPH:Alpha Group went up 5% and my holding is now 11% in profit. Interesting that an after hours RNS stated a company is interested in buying them, so it looks like I won't get a chance to hold them for long. The question is, how much are they willing to pay? If it's more than the current share price at least I'll come away with some profit, but not the years of dividends I was hoping for.

IPX:Impax Asset Management also went up 5% but are down 67% altogether, which is way too much in my opinion and I wish I had money on the SIPP to buy some more. I will have if JLP:Jubilee Metals ever sort themselves out.

ARBB:Arbuthnot Banking went up 6% and POLR:Polar Capital went up 7%.

ATYM:Atalaya Mining, FDM:FDM Group, OPTI:Optibiotix , PSN:Persimmon and SCT:Softcat all went up 8%, and ATYM is being added to the FTSE250 which should help the share price - although it didn't do much good for CWR:Ceres Power.

AFC:AFC Energy went up a massive 33% which I suspect is shorters closing their bets, as nothing really happened. I'm still down 55% but it's a lot less horrifying than it was last week.

Share of the Week is FXPO:Ferrexpo, which I stated I wouldn't have to report on any more as they were bound to go back to 90% down, but I was wrong as they went up another 42% and are now 84% down. I don't know why they went up as their situation doesn't seem to have improved at all.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 40 of year 11.

Weekly Change
Cash£119.32+£0
Portfolio cost£114,352.47+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£47,466.51(-58.5%)+£756.66
Potential profits£58.72-£788.44
Yr 10 Dividends£138.34+£0
Yr 10 Interest£1.09            +£0
Yr 10 Profit from sales£327.55+£0
Yr 10 proj avg monthly profit£42.56(0.6%)-£1.09
Total Dividends£12,446.29+£0
Total Interest£7.89+£0
Total Profit from sales£17,602.85+£0
Average monthly cash profit£251.77(3.5%)+£0.50
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance35%+0%

The increase would have been twice as much without the big drop in SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics, which obliterated my potential profits.


Still below where we were when the tariff debacle hit.


A little bit further above the trend line, but it's going to be pointing downwards for a long time yet.


The SIPP looks like this after week 492 overall and week 24 of year 10.




Weekly Change
Cash£343.89
+£250.00
Portfolio cost£129,481.05
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£72,700.63(-43.9%)+£2,116.40
Potential profits£5,101.15
+£260.48
Yr 10 Dividends£633.50
+£0
Yr 10 Interest£2.12
+£0
Yr 10 Profit from sales£2,375.87
+£0
Yr 10 proj avg monthly profit£525.58(7.3%)-£22.85
Total Dividends£16,750.15
+£0
Total Interest£15.02
+£0
Total Profit from sales£19,383.81
+£0
Average monthly cash profit£305.33(4.3%)-£0.63
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance40%+0%

I added £250 for my monthly investment but the trade won't be until next week. Healthy increase in value and modest rise in potential profits.


This account is a little higher than it was on tariff day.


Above the trend line, and back to the relatively stable position this account has held for the last six months aside from a few brief blips.


There's speculation that the seller responsible for keeping the JLP:Jubilee Metals share price down is the mining company we bought the high grade copper supply from. It makes sense that they would want to convert them to cash straight away if they are short of cash themselves, although it does seem very short sighted. It would be nice not to be in the grips of a big seller just for a little while. Long enough to sell a load of my SIPP holding as I only need 5.5p to start selling, from the current 3.1p we've held at for a few weeks. If it can get to 11.5p then my entire SIPP holding of 277,591 shares will be sold, leaving me with 335,780 in the ISA which I'll keep. There are also 45,497 in the dealing account from my old trading account which I'll be pulling out as cash, but they need the price to be 11.5p and 14p.