Wednesday, 10 October 2018

Week 165 Review - Utter and complete misery

This week's update is late, partly because I was away for the weekend and partly because it's too depressing for me to want to write it. The combined portfolios lost £8,888 and went from over £100K to £93,046 reducing the buffer between value and cost to just £5,665 and as we're already halfway through week 166 I can say that's all gone and Friday's update promises to be as bleak as this one.

Leading the fallers is OPTI:Optibiotix, falling 17% this has dropped from 130p to 88p in a few weeks and all the profits I was strongly advised not to top-slice by the CEO have gone. I still think he was right to advise that, and I'm sure this share price is being manipulated, so I can't blame him. It was my decision to keep them, and I stand by it, as I firmly believe they will be back at 130p soon.

RED:RedT Energy dropped 16% putting an end to their brief rise.

CEY:Centamin dropped 11% as they continue to plummet against all odds. I'll soon be getting £8,000 transferred into my SIPP from my work pension, as I've discovered it's rather easy and Legal & General have screwed me over. They are force-selling my Blackrock Gold fund at a really low price and buying a general fund at a high price. I believed I was investing for the long term, but they've absolutely buggered up my long term strategy and have no gold option to re-invest the proceeds in because they feel it's "too specialised". Is it bollocks!! So I shall be transferring my monthly contributions into my SIPP and managing it myself every time there's £1,000. £4,000 of the proceeds will be going straight into CEY:Centamin at these prices.

MTFB:Motif Bio, RDT:Rosslyn Data and SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics all dropped 5% for no reason.

Only 2 shares rose by more than 5%. IKA:Ilika climbed 6% after news of a new research partnership (still years away from delivering anything) and Share of the Week is MMX:Minds + Machines which climbed 10% but is still 13% down.




Really, really depressing

Here's the combined ISA and share portfolio



Weekly Change
Cash £25.99
+£19.38
Portfolio cost £56,958.55
+£0
Portfolio sell value (bid price - commission) £59,776.46 (4.9%) -£6,202.55
Potential profits £10,929.61
-£5,794.38
Yr 4 Dividends £52.69
+£23.13
Yr 4 Profit from sales £814.53
+£0
Yr 4 Average monthly cash profit £412.13 (8.7%) -£41.02
Total Dividends £1,291.02
+£23.13
Total Profit from sales £19,511.65
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £542.19 (11.4%) -£2.79
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees / Months)

There was a £23.13 dividend from CEY:Centamin but £3.75 was taken as ISA charge so cash is just up by £19. £5,795 paper profits evaporated and deepening losses reduced value by £6,202. Average profit should stay above 10% for another 14 weeks without me having to sell anything.




We seem to be in a very volatile phase.

The SIPP looks like this after week 149



Weekly Change
Cash £30.16
-£12.67
Portfolio cost £27,893.76
+£0
Portfolio sell value (bid price - commission) £31,179.44 (11.8%) -£2,670.64
Potential profits £6,799.63
-£2,717.83
Yr 3 Dividends £292.57
+£0
Yr 3 Profit from sales £1,619.73
+£0
Yr 3 Average monthly cash profit £172.26 (7.4%) -£5.16
Total Dividends £1,208.67
+£0
Total Profit from sales £10,544.92
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £333.94 (14.4%) -£2.63
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees / Months)

Cash dropped by £12 due to monthly charges. Paper profits dropped by more than the value dropped, so some losses were reduced as MMX: Minds + Machines improved. Nothing else happened really.




Same story as above but with a slightly wider buffer to the red line

Trading looks like this after week 115



Weekly Change
Cash £151.47
+£0
Portfolio cost £2,321.29
+£0
Portfolio sell value (bid price - commission) £1,884.39 (-18.8%) -£15.62
Potential profits £102.96
-£5.04
Year 3 Dividends £0
+£0
Year 3 Profit £177.06
+£0
Yr 3 Average monthly cash profit £76.73 (39.7%) -£8.52
Dividends £1.15
+£0
Profit from sales -£64.29
+£0
Average monthly cash profit -£2.40 (-1.2%) +£0.02
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees / Months)

The usual tick down in value and TAP:Taptica keeps dropping so it looks like I should have taken those profits a few weeks ago. No doubts I'll watch them dwindle away as everything else continues to get hammered.




At least the decline is slow, but relentless.

That's it - utterly fed up and it's getting worse. Not looking forward to Friday's update unless something very unlikely happens over the next 2 days.

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