Sunday, 2 April 2023

Week 399 Review - A new all-time low despite recovery in magic formula shares

There was some recovery in magic formula shares this week, but a 1p drop in PBX:Probiotix and 0.5p drop in both JLP:Jubilee Metals and OPTI:Optibiotix meant all my largest holdings fell and the deficit widened by £2,197 to a new record of £125,134 and portfolio value dropped to £54,690. As with last week and all the recent weeks, I struggle to find the enthusiasm to write any more.

PBX:Probiotix Health was the worst performer in my recently bedded ISA shares which dropped 13%.

CAML:Central Asia Metals have been falling ever since I reluctantly sold most of my holding. If only I hadn't moved it all to JLP:Jubilee Metals which has fallen much more! This week CAML dropped another 5% to go 14% down.

JLP:Jubilee Metals dropped another 5% as my timing proves to be completely and utterly wrong.

Good news for GAW:Games Workshop, which climbed 6% and is now in profit by 3%. I'll be bedding into an ISA in April so may actually register a profitable sale.

EDV:Endeavour Mining climbed a healthy 7% as the gold price went up, and is almost in profit, down less than 1%.

III:3i Group went up 9% to go 10% up in my SIPP. Shame it's one of my smallest holdings, and shame I'm about to buy my monthly investment next week when the price is so high.

WHR:Warehouse REIT wins Share of the Week. It also climbed 9% and is still 8% down, but is a bigger holding than III so the rise was more satisfying.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 35 of year 8.

Weekly Change
Cash £145.21 +£117.47
Portfolio cost £86,217.02 +£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£25,224.69 (-70.7%) -£1,089.41
Potential profits £28.02 +£28.02
Yr 8 Dividends £17.56 +£17.47
Yr 8 Interest £0.12 +£0
Yr 8 Profit from sales -£10,815.68 +£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit -£1,340.46 (-27.5%) +£41.65
Total Dividends £11,786.48 +£17.47
Total Interest £0.12 +£0
Total Profit from sales £17,278.38 +£0
Average monthly cash profit £311.80 (6.4%) -£0.59
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance 49% +0%

I added £100 to my ISA to cover monthly fees for the next 12 months, as I won't be opening a new one with Hargreaves Lansdown, but spreading my risk between providers and opening one with AJ Bell. I also got a £17 dividend from ASHM:Ashmore Group, now I've started buying dividend paying shares in this account and not just the SIPP.

Much joy as GAW:Games Workshop goes into potential profit by £28.



Same old story of misery and decline

The SIPP looks like this after week 383 overall and week 19 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash£380.61
+£16.79
Portfolio cost£91,844.47
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£28,477.42(-69.0%)-£1,059.03
Potential profits£48.81
+£45.92
Yr 8 Dividends£60.27
+£16.79
Yr 8 Interest£0.67
+£0
Yr 8 Profit from sales-£9,820.16
+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit-£2,236.22(-43.2%)+£128.28
Total Dividends£14,203.05
+£16.79
Total Interest£0.92
+£0
Total Profit from sales£10,613.59
+£0
Average monthly cash profit£269.00(5.2%)-£0.51
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance38%+0%

Cash went up thanks to a £16 dividend from EDV:Endeavour Mining. and potential profits went up by £45 thanks to III:3i Group. A few more weeks and I'll need to change the sell value colour from crimson to red as we dip below 75% loss. It seems inevitable based on current trajectory.



Actually resting on the trend line which we've been following so relentlessly down.

The trading account looks like this after week 349 overall and week 37 of year 7.




Weekly Change
Cash£20.25
+£0
Portfolio cost£1,763.50
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£988.63(-43.9%)-£49.43
Potential profits£0
+£0
Year 7 Dividends£0.00
+£0
Year 7 Interests£0.02
+£0
Year 7 Profit-£1,157.99
+£0
Yr 7 proj avg monthly profit-£135.54(-92.2%)+£3.76
Dividends£60.10
+£0
Interest£0.02
+£0
Profit from sales-£930.69
+£0
Average monthly cash profit-£10.81(-7.4%)+£0.03
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)

All last weeks gains and a bit more were wiped out as everything fell. What a joke.



Even after realising all those losses, this is still determined to get back below the trend line and start flattening it.

As with all the recent weeks, I'm going through the motions writing this. I've lost all interest and enthusiasm. There's only so much you can take before you've had enough, and at the moment I've had enough.

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