Saturday, 27 April 2024

Week 455 Review - A fairly flat week, but another down week.

It wasn't a bad week for most of the portfolio, but a drop in JLP:Jubilee Metals was enough to widen the deficit between cost and value by £332 to £113,257, with the deficit between cost and injection amount £48,500 and total portfolio value of £102,127.

There were no major fallers, which was nice.

POLY:Polymetal went up 6% after a 5% rise last week, so will hopefully stage a bit of a recovery before re-listing in the UK when the Russian assets are sold. They are still 82% down so have a long way to go.

FXPO:Ferrexpo zoomed up 9% but are still 90% down and will be until Russia get out of Ukraine.

CAPD:Capital went up 9% after a 6% rise last week and are now only 6% down. These are still in my dealing account, so I will sell them if they get into profit and add the cash to my ISA where it will be invested in a potential growth share. I'll get back into CAPD:Capital when I next have a SIPP transfer as I do like them.

Share of the week is CWR:Ceres Power which tends to go up and down like a yo-yo and is a potential future share for my trading account. They went up 11% this week but are still 31% down.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 39 of year 9.

Weekly Change
Cash £65.79 +£0
Portfolio cost £105,005.30 +£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£45,544.97 (-56.3%) -£259.70
Potential profits £612.98 +£0
Yr 9 Dividends £245.03 +£0
Yr 9 Interest £3.95 +£0
Yr 9 Profit from sales £262.11 +£0
Yr 9 proj avg monthly profit £49.71 (0.8%) -£1.31
Total Dividends £12,156.46 +£0
Total Interest £5.88 +£0
Total Profit from sales £17,560.64 +£0
Average monthly cash profit £278.87 (4.4%) -£0.61
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance 38% +0%

Very little change. Most of my JLP:Jubilee Metals holding is in the ISA so a 0.2p drop was enough to wipe out all the other gains and drop the value by £259.


A long, slow decline


I have about 2 months before the period starts with the peak from about 10 months ago, at which point the trend line will be very much downwards. I need about £12k improvement to get back to the trend line.

The SIPP looks like this after week 439 overall and week 23 of year 9.




Weekly Change
Cash£90.35
-£122.72
Portfolio cost£108,085.66
+£485.22
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£54,709.27(-49.4%)-£41.12
Potential profits£3,503.38
+£2.48
Yr 9 Dividends£302.35
+£0
Yr 9 Interest£2.74
+£0
Yr 9 Profit from sales£3,506.75
+£0
Yr 9 proj avg monthly profit£700.78(11.7%)-£31.85
Total Dividends£14,902.59
+£0
Total Interest£8.67
+£0
Total Profit from sales£14,342.65
+£0
Average monthly cash profit£276.77(4.6%)-£0.63
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance39%+0%

I had some dividends and a tax rebate from the last few weeks so added £300 to the account so I could buy something new. I got 29 shares in EDV:Endeavour Mining at 1647.6955p costing £485.22. Happy to say they ended the week £4 in profit.

Portfolio value hardly changed, as I'm much less exposed to JLP:Jubilee Metals here. The 2% drop in CAML:Central Asia Metals was the main reason for the negative week.


Injection amount goes up, value stays flat.


Very similar pattern to the ISA, but hoping it will diverge as I get rid of all my non-dividend shares from here.


The trading account looks like this after week 405 overall and week 41 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash£63.39
+£0
Portfolio cost£2,073.87
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£1,353.37(-34.7%)-£31.90
Potential profits£30.70
-£17.17
Year 8 Dividends£25.36
+£0
Year 8 Interest£0
+£0
Year 8 Profit£328.15
+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit£37.36(+21.6%)-£0.94
Dividends£85.46
+£0
Interest£0.03
+£0
Profit from sales-£602.54
+£0
Average monthly cash profit-£5.53(-3.2%)+£0.02
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)

The 2% drop in JLP:Jubilee Metals dropped this £31. I maybe should have sold my profitable holding earlier, but I'm determined to hold out for a decent return.


It was looking so promising a few weeks ago, but less so now.


Plunging towards the trend line which is still pointing downwards.

The way things are going I fear it will be months rather than weeks before any news that might cause a turnaround in my fortunes. I guess I should be pleased that I have more profitable shares than at any time I can remember, with 11 lines of my spreadsheet green. In the past I would have sold them, but my new "hold dividend shares forever" mentality is now set in. Let's see if it's more successful than when I was trading.

Looking back at my most successful shares, it was the likes of IQE:IQE, SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics, JLP:Jubilee Metals, CAML:Central Asia Metals and even OPTI:Optibiotix, and in every single case I would have lost all my profits if I hadn't sold when I did. So whereas this hold forever method may work ok for FTSE shares, I think I'll need to continue selling at least some in my ISA where I'll have a much higher risk profile.

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