Sunday, 20 June 2021

Week 306 Review - Nearly everything drops and Motif Bio written off

An absolutely rubbish week with big losses all over the place, especially the miners. Thankfully OPTI:Optibiotix stayed flat else things would have been even worse. However, thanks to writing off MTFB:Motif Bio as a loss, the deficit between cost and value actually narrowed by £583, but overall portfolio value dropped by about £2,000 to £113,885.

CAML:Central Asia Metals was the biggest faller, and after a 9% drop last week it fell another 15% this week. It looks like there is a drop across the mining sector, but none of my others dropped this much. Metal prices have dropped, but surely this is a blip, as there are shortages of supply across the board.

FXPO:Ferrexpo dropped 10% confirming the timing of my re-entry was utterly dreadful.

JLP:Jubilee Metals fell 7%, but we should get this back as soon as news of copper production breaks, and 7% is a remarkably small change compared to what I usually get.

TLOU:Tlou Energy also dropped 7% but I have no idea why.

CEY:Centamin was another recent purchase and dropped 6% this week to go 9% down already.

POLY:Polymetal also dropped by a large sum, falling 5% as the gold price is falling.

There was only one share that gained in price this week, so RDT:Rosslyn Data would have won Share of the Week even if it was only up by a percent. It was actually up by 7% and some hope is re-kindled that maybe one day I can sell at a profit.




Everything pointing downwards




Pointing upwards thanks to writing off a loss.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 46 of year 6.




Weekly Change
Cash £39.08

+£0
Portfolio cost £68,170.47
-£2,521.19
Portfolio sell value (bid price-commission) £55,588.26 (-18.5%) -£396.48
Potential profits £6,+24.08
-£150.00
Yr 6 Dividends £0
+£0
Yr 6 Profit from sales £3,697.33
-£2,521.19
Yr 6 projected avg monthly profit £344.41 (9.4%) -£250.44
Total Dividends £1,343.15
+£0
Total Profit from sales £24,123.94
-£2,521.19
Average monthly cash profit £356.76 (9.8%) -£36.99
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees
/ Months)
Compound performance 57%
-6%

The cost dropped by the £2,521 I had paid for MTFB:Motif Bio and which is almost certainly lost, as they have cancelled their AIM listing following a rejection of the 220:1 share consolidation and massive dilution of existing shareholders which was nothing short of a joke. Directors desperate to keep their salary and stuff the shareholders. Fortunately they didn't get away with it and the whole thing will almost certainly go bust. As a result I've written it off as a loss. This has wrecked my stellar Year 6 performance and brought long term performance down below my 10% target, but 9.4% for the year and 9.8% overall isn't bad, and it's a relief not to have to talk about the MTFB fiasco any more.

Aside from the write-off, JLP:Jubilee Metals dropped £150 to dent paper profits, and the rest of the portfolio also slipped by another £250 on top of that. It could have been much worse as we'll see in a minute with the SIPP.




Big drop in cost from the write-off, and value just down a small amount.




Big tick up as the write-off took away £2,500 worth of loss to narrow the deficit.

The SIPP looks like this after week 290 overall and week 30 of year 6.




Weekly Change
Cash £207.54
+£0.35
Portfolio cost £73,458.48
+£282.97
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£56,346.81 (-23.3%) -£1,487.07
Potential profits £745.52
-£844.78
Yr 6 Dividends £874.51
+£0
Yr 6 Interest £0
+£0
Yr 6 Profit from sales £7,774.62
+£283.32
Yr 6 projected avg monthly profit £1,232.37 (33.8%) -£0.16
Total Dividends £2,941.59
+£0
Total Interest £0.20
+£0
Total Profit from sales £23,234.06
+£283.32
Average monthly cash profit £380.10 (10.4%) +£2.93
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees
/ Months)
Compound performance 58% +0%

I was depressed with everything dropping so flogged another 500 CAML;Central Asia Metals shares for 241.77p making £283.32 (30.6%) profit. I feel a bit bad that I've now sold so many, but they are drifting and there's no dividend for ages, whereas OPTI:Optibiotix is ludicrously under-valued so I had to get some more. I bought another 2,547 at 46.745p costing £1,199.55. My holding is now 163,299 giving me 13,299 I'm willing to sell and still keep 150,000 long term. My average price in the SIPP reduced to 60.78p compared to my ISA price of 60.4p. My holding is still down by £22,971 after 6 years, which is beyond frustrating, but my conviction these are going to be life changing is even stronger now, despite these losses.

Nearly everything in this portfolio got hammered, so value dropped by £1,487 and £844 of that was the huge drop in CAML:Cental Asia Metals, compounded by selling some.




Closer to the injection line than the cost line now




Really, really bad performance over the last 6 months. Possibly the worst ever for the SIPP.

The trading account looks like this after week 256 overall and week 48 of year 5.




Weekly Change
Cash £259.74
+£0
Portfolio cost £2,374.14
+£0
Portfolio sell value (bid price - commission) £1,444.85 (-39.1%) -£54.19
Potential profits £0.00
+£0
Year 5 Dividends £12.18
+£0
Year 5 Profit £651.51
+£0
Yr 5 projected avg monthly profit £59.92 (30.3%) -£1.27
Dividends £60.10
+£0
Profit from sales £937.88
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £16.89 (8.5%) -£0.07
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees
/ Months)

Most of last week's gains were lost as everything dropped. Still happy that my long term performance is much better than a building society would have been - if I can sort out the fact that the portfolio itself is down by 39% which would wipe out the whole lot if I sold up now.




No sign of recovery, which is relying on good news from DDDD:4D Pharma because the rest is going nowhere fast.




Pretty bad.

So, OPTI:Optibiotix published results which most companies would have been proud of in a Covid year, but the results was absolutely no change in share price from the previous week. In fact, to add insult to injury SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics climbed much more on the day OPTI released results than OPTI did. I'm just going to pout and sulk for a while and see what next week brings...


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