Friday, 18 November 2022

Week 380 Review - Nearly everything down and most of last week's gains lost

Not a good week. Virtually everything is down and all my recent OPTI:Optibiotix gains were lost, with the 1.5p drop costing £3,000 of this week's £3,602 worsening of the deficit between cost and value. The deficit now stands at £107,218 and portfolio value is down to £75,521.

OPTI:Optibiotix Health was the worst performer in my trading account, dropping 8%, but it only dropped 3% in my main holdings.

AJB:AJ Bell has been on a great run lately but people took their profits this week and it dropped 6%. If I stick to my new rules I need to sell if it drops another 4%.

SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics also dropped 6% but the time passed long ago that I could sell without incurring massive loss, so the wait continues

Share of the week only climbed a feeble 2%, but it was better than anything else as TRX:Tissue Regenix crept up and is now only 56% down. I think there is a glimmer of hope this could become profitable, if they can get their product in wider use.




I didn't lose all of last week's gains, but nearly.




Still above the trend line but running parallel to it

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 16 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash £52.68

+£0.01
Portfolio cost £82,003.25
+£0
Portfolio sell value (bid price-commission) £29,931.74 (-63.5%) -£1,657.61
Potential profits £0
-£14.74
Yr 8 Dividends £0
+£0
Yr 8 Interest £0.03
+£0.01
Yr 8 Profit from sales -£995.63
+£0
Yr 8 projected avg monthly profit -£272.69 (-7.4%) +£18.18
Total Dividends £11,768.92
+£0
Total Interest £0.03
+£0.01
Total Profit from sales £27,098.43
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £439.37
(11.9%) -£1.16
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees
/ Months)
Compound performance 87% +0%

1p interest - yippee! I lost more than last week's gains in this account, which is terribly vexing.




Back close to the 12 month low




I seem to have a magnetic attraction to the trend line when it points downwards

The SIPP looks like this after week 364 overall and week 52 of year 7.




Weekly Change
Cash £62.44
+£25.82
Portfolio cost £98,772.58
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£44,778.64 (-54.7%) -£1,907.55
Potential profits £556.17
-£157.37
Yr 7 Dividends £10,938.39
+£26.52
Yr 7 Interest £0.05
+£0.04
Yr 7 Profit from sales -£3,290.88
+£0
Yr 7 projected avg monthly profit £622.78 (12.6%) -£10.02
Total Dividends £14,142.78
+£26.52
Total Interest £0.25
+£0.04
Total Profit from sales £20,433.75
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £399.77 (8.1%) -£0.79
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees
/ Months)
Compound performance 57% +0%


I got a nice dividend of £26 from PLUS:Plus500 and a magnificent 4p interest, but paid 74p fees for my AJ Bell SIPP so cash only up £25.The drop in portfolio value was around £500 less than the gains last week, so the SIPP fared much better than the ISA.

The end of Year 7 saw an overall loss of £3,290 from sales, mostly from writing off IQE:IQE, HUM:Hummingbird Resources and getting out of methane-producing TLOU:Tlou Energy. My magic formula shares were a lot less kind to me in year 7, about half of them going for a loss, and the PBX:Probiotix shares dividend inflated the dividend figure, but it was still £494 without that, which wasn't bad.




This one is much closer to the injection line, which gives me hope.




This chart gives me less hope.

The trading account looks like this after week 330 overall and week 18 of year 7.




Weekly Change
Cash £0.10
+£0
Portfolio cost £1,849.21
+£0
Portfolio sell value (bid price - commission) £695.89 (-62.4%) -£37.03
Potential profits £0.00
+£0
Year 7 Dividends £0.00
+£0
Year 7 Interests £0.01
+£0
Year 7 Profit -£71.73
+£0
Yr 7 projected avg monthly profit -£17.27 (-11.2%) +£1.01
Dividends £60.10
+£0
Interest £0.01
+£0
Profit from sales £154.87
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £2.82 (1.8%) -£0.01
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees
/ Months)


All last week's gains in OPTI:Optibiotix vanished when there was no RNS before the Investor Meet presentation, thus signaling nothing material was going to be announced, and it wasn't. I think it could easily be next summer before anything happens to kick start these, so the curse of the trading account strikes again.




Bad




Still just above the line - a positive end

The one interesting thing in the OPTI:Optibiotix presentation was confirmation that 3 of the 11 companies we've been working with on developing Sweetbiotix are Coca Cola, Nestle and Kellogg's. That gives me a huge amount of hope that if something does finally happen, it's going to be worth waiting for.

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