Sunday, 4 December 2022

Week 382 Review - AJ Bell soars but Optibiotix lets the side down again

A disappointing week, with most of last week's gains being wiped out and a bad week for microbiome companies. The deficit between cost and value widened by £4,370 to £104,869 and portfolio value dropped to £77,903.

My trading holding in OPTI:Optibiotix was the biggest loser, falling 11% and going into loss. That was just 2p which meant my main holding only dropped 3%, but it's responsible for most of this week's loss.

SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics also had a bad week, dropping 7% as we continue to get no news whatsoever.

Share of the Week was the only one to increase by a significant amount, as AJB:AJ Bell climbed 9% after a broker buy recommendation and is now an impressive 24% up.




Only crumb of comfort was the drop wasn't bigger than last week's gain. Might be by next week though...




Right side of the trend line but way too close.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 18 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash £52.68

+£0
Portfolio cost £82,003.25
+£0
Portfolio sell value (bid price-commission) £30,925.04 (-62.3%) -£2,147.23
Potential profits £0
-£156.12
Yr 8 Dividends £0
+£0
Yr 8 Interest £0.03
+£0
Yr 8 Profit from sales -£995.63
+£0
Yr 8 projected avg monthly profit -£242.39 (-6.6%) +£14.26
Total Dividends £11,768.92
+£0
Total Interest £0.03
+£0
Total Profit from sales £27,098.43
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £437.07
(11.8%) -£1.15
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees
/ Months)
Compound performance 87% +0%

The OPTI:Optibiotix drop wiped out all potential profits and was responsible for most of the £2,147 loss in value.




Still rubbish




Still rubbish, but right side of the line

The SIPP looks like this after week 366 overall and week 2 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash £94.94
+£0
Portfolio cost £98,772.58
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£46,109.76 (-53.3%) -£2,174.11
Potential profits £813.87
+£181.11
Yr 8 Dividends £0
+£0
Yr 8 Interest £0
+£0
Yr 8 Profit from sales £0
+£0
Yr 8 projected avg monthly profit £0 (0%) +£0
Total Dividends £14,142.78
+£0
Total Interest £0.25
+£0
Total Profit from sales £20,433.75
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £397.58 (8.0%) -£1.09
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees
/ Months)
Compound performance 57% +0%

Same story as the ISA for the total value, but great news for potential profits as all three profitable shares gained. I've already mentioned AJB:AJ Bell being up 24%, but PLUS:Plus500 climbed 4% to go 21% up, or 28% if you include dividends, and CAML:Central Asia Metals climbed 2% to go back to 11% up, or 15% if you include dividends. 

Some of my other magic formula shares are staging a bit of a recovery too, with CEY:Centamin up 1% and is now only 8% down, and APAX:Apax Global Alpha is only 7% down, and IGG:IG Group is only 7% down. 

The other 4 aren't so great, with EMG:Man Group down 12% and in danger of triggering the 15% virtual stop loss, NUM:Numis Corp down 35% because I was sleeping when they passed the 15% sell level, FXPO:Ferrexpo down 67% due to Ukraine war and POLY:Polymetal down 87% due to being on the wrong side in the Ukraine war.




Feels like there is still some upward momentum




Looks less promising

The trading account looks like this after week 332 overall and week 20 of year 7.




Weekly Change
Cash £0.10
+£0
Portfolio cost £1,849.21
+£0
Portfolio sell value (bid price - commission) £720.58 (-61.0%) -£49.38
Potential profits £0
-£23.26
Year 7 Dividends £0.00
+£0
Year 7 Interests £0.01
+£0
Year 7 Profit -£71.73
+£0
Yr 7 projected avg monthly profit -£15.54 (-10.1%) +£0.82
Dividends £60.10
+£0
Interest £0.01
+£0
Profit from sales £154.87
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £2.81 (1.8%) +£0
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees
/ Months)

All OPTI:Optibiotix profits wiped out and all my optimism crushed.




Still very depressing




Fractionally above the trend line - I can't afford to cross below it, but will next week unless OPTI:Optibiotix moves back upwards.

Hoping for a bit of a Santa rally, but previous years have been really disappointing. I've got virtual stop losses on my profitable magic formula shares to sell if they drop 10% from here, and EMG:Man Group is only 3% above my 15% loss stop-loss, which I really need to get strict with after the NUM:Numis Corp disaster.

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