Sunday, 30 July 2023

Week 416 Review - This week comes 2nd only to last week's best ever week

I posted on Tuesday because I wanted to celebrate the astronomical surge in OPTI:Optibiotix, and although it briefly touched 42p the next morning, the heady heights didn't last and we ended the week on 27.5p. That still gave the 2nd best week ever, with the deficit between cost and value reducing by £18,716 to £83,228 and total portfolio value going above £100k to £103,103.

There was only one share that dropped more than 6%, and that didn't really as I bought BARC:Barclays in my trading account, so the commission and spread contributed to it ending down by 6%.

ANTO:Antofagasta had another good week, climbing 7% to go 11% up. Just 2 weeks until my final purchase so ideally it won't climb too much more just yet.


SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics went up 2.25p which is a good 9%. Not sure if it was on the back of the OPTI:Optibiotix rise, but nothing else happened that might trigger it.

Similarly, PBX:Probiotix Health climbed 2p which is 9% of my dividend holding IPO price, but 26% up on my later purchases.

OPTI:Optibiotix wins Share of the Week for a 2nd week, climbing 6.9p which is 71% of my cheapest holding price, or 7% of my most expensive holding price. Potential profits are now £6,230 for my cheaper shares, but still 70% down on my most expensive.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 52 of year 8.

Weekly Change
Cash £242.44 -£5.62
Portfolio cost £87,854.54 +£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£45,717.91 (-58.0%) +£8,634.88
Potential profits £2,647.90 +£1,399.42
Yr 8 Dividends £142.51 +£0
Yr 8 Interest £1.93 +£0.14
Yr 8 Profit from sales -£10,795.53 +£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit -£891.90 (-18.0%) +£17.01
Total Dividends £11,911.43 +£0
Total Interest £1.93 +£0.14
Total Profit from sales £17,298.53 +£0
Average monthly cash profit £300.35 (6.0%) -£0.78
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance 48% +0%

The last week of year 8. Profit this year was a disaster thanks to DDDD:4D Pharma going bust, so the average monthly loss was £891 (18%), making this by far my worst year. It hammered my long term performance too, although that's benefited from the PBX:Probiotix share dividend. Averaging £300 a month over 8 years isn't bad, or at least wouldn't be if the portfolio was breaking even. It's a long way below my 10% target though.

Increase in potential profits is mostly OPTI:Optibiotix, although £214 the profit is GAW:Games Workshop.


On Tuesday we touched the injection line, but now we're a fair way below it.


We're higher than the highest point on the trend line, so I would hope it starts to flatten quite quickly.

The SIPP looks like this after week 400 overall and week 36 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash £151.03
+£80.33
Portfolio cost £96,015.54
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£55,535.17 (-42.2%) +£10,135.23
Potential profits £4,096.36
+£1,817.16
Yr 8 Dividends £239.37
+£18.44
Yr 8 Interest £3.82
+£0.33
Yr 8 Profit from sales -£9,597.85
+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit -£1,136.71 (-20.9%) +£34.69
Total Dividends £14,382.15
+£18.44
Total Interest £4.07
+£0.33
Total Profit from sales £10,835.90
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £261.48 (4.8%) -£0.46
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance 37% +0%

Cash went up thanks to a tax rebate and £18 dividend from III:3i Group. Huge £10k rise in portfolio value and potential profits up mainly due to OPTI:Optibiotix, but also ANTO:Antofagasta now in profit by £78 and III:3i Group in profit by £219.


This one is a lot closer to the injection line, A whole year of decline has been reversed in 2 weeks.


As with the ISA, if the price doesn't drop back, then the trend line should flatten quickly.

The trading account looks like this after week 366 overall and week 2 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash£273.24
+£252.98
Portfolio cost£1,794.51
+£31.01
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£1,183.44(-34.1%)-£53.41
Potential profits£0
-£13.38
Year 8 Dividends£0
+£0
Year 8 Interest£0
+£0
Year 8 Profit£283.99
+£283.99
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit£615.30(+411.5%)+£615.30
Dividends£60.10
+£0
Interest£0.03
+£0
Profit from sales-£646.70
+£283.99
Average monthly cash profit-£6.94(-4.6%)+£3.40
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)

I sold my 2,469 shares in OPTI:Optibiotix at 31.56p and made £283.98 (57.3%) profit. At the time I regretted not waiting, as it was 37p later in the day, but ended the week 4p down on what I sold at, so mustn't grumble. It means there's half the cash I need to buy another share and get back to 5 in this portfolio, and it reduces the long-term losses by £3 a month to £6.

I bought 317 shares in BARC:Barclays as their share price had plummeted despite reasonable results. I was hoping they would bounce back on the day I bought them, but they didn't, in fact they dropped further from where I bought them. If I hold them for a few weeks I'll get a small interim dividend of about £3, but I hope I don't keep them that long as I'm rather eager for the trading account to work like it's meant to.


Getting closer to cost price, but still £1k down on injection amount, so this account is still a disaster.


Good news that we stay above the trend line despite cashing in some profit.

It's difficult to know if the surge in OPTI:Optibiotix share price will continue or stall. If we can keep some momentum of news flow then maybe there's a chance of sustaining the recovery. Otherwise boredom may set in and we go back to our 2-year long drift.

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