Saturday, 14 October 2023

Week 427 Review - Yet another dreadful week as Jubilee Metals crashes

A desperately bad week just about saved by a 1p rise in OPTI:Optibiotix, but despite that being worth nearly £2,500 the deficit between cost and value only reduced by £426, meaning I lost around £2,000 elsewhere. The deficit is now £91,870 and portfolio value is £106,201.

As I mentioned last week, I'm changing the way I report on percentage rises to give the figure based on the price change during the week, rather than compared to my original purchase price. That removes the gigantic changes on small movements when a share has done well compared to original price, or not registering enough of a change on shares that are doing really badly. It also means there is the same percentage change across all my purchases of the same company when I split them.

My purchase of JLP:Jubilee Metals shares last week in anticipation of a big rise after results turned out to be a disaster. Results were as expected, but the share price dropped 16% and I lost about £2,000 across my holding.

My other purchase of CWR:Ceres Power also turned out to be a disaster, as they promptly fell 11%, proving my timing is in fact cursed.

ASHM:Ashmore Group results were distinctly luke warm, but I thought that was already in the share price. They still fell another 9%.

BLU:Blue Star Capital fell 5% but I've given up hope of these ever doing anything.

SAE:Simec Atlantis Energy also fell 5% and I've definitely given up hope with them.

The highest riser was KIBO:Kibo Energy which climbed 11%, but I'm never letting it anywhere near Share of the Week because it's utterly dysfunctional and doomed to just keep the CEO in a nice fat salary while never producing anything whatsoever.

EDV:Endeavour Mining had a good week, climbing 9% and allowing my new SIPP holding to go into profit by 3%.

Share of the Week goes to CEY:Centamin which is having a bit of a turn around and climbed 10%. In 2 months time I'll have got up to £1,000 with my monthly savings in EDV, and I reckon I'll then switch it to here. Rather than try and pick new magic formula shares without availability of the stats I need, I'm just going to consolidate my holdings in the ones I already have.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 11 of year 9.

Weekly Change
Cash£211.35+£55.25
Portfolio cost£98,482.35+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£51,655.57(-47.5%)-£326.05
Potential profits£2,138.31+£178.39
Yr 9 Dividends£82.84+£55.25
Yr 9 Interest£1.59+£0
Yr 9 Profit from sales£0+£0
Yr 9 proj avg monthly profit£26.78(0.5%)+£21.26
Total Dividends£11,994.27+£55.25
Total Interest£3.52+£0
Total Profit from sales£17,298.53+£0
Average monthly cash profit£293.30(5.0%)-£0.13
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance41%+0%

Cash went up by £55 thanks to dividends from PAGE:Page Group (£45) and CAPD:Capital (£9), both in which I'd be happy to increase my holding.

Portfolio value dropped by £326 despite the rise in OPTI:Optibiotix. This was due to the big drops in JLP:Jubilee Metals as I have £10k worth in this account, and ASHM:Ashmore Group and CWR:Ceres Power are also both in this account and dropped heavily. Potential profits are only up by £178 because GAW:Games Workshop dropped almost back to loss and most of my OPTI holding in this account was purchased at a higher price so is not yet in profit.

Year 9 projected profit is just based on dividends alone, but I don't have enough dividend-paying shares for that to become meaningful. I really need to sell something. The intention was to sell some JLP:Jubilee Metals, but that seems a long way off now.


Nothing too alarming.


Above the trend line but only just. Encouraging that it's now pointing upwards.

The SIPP looks like this after week 411 overall and week 47 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash£288.91
-£235.25
Portfolio cost£97,022.81
+£235.25
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£52,710.58(-45.7%)+£840.27
Potential profits£3,616.22
+£285.56
Yr 8 Dividends£345.65
+£0
Yr 8 Interest£5.22
+£0
Yr 8 Profit from sales-£9,597.85
+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit-£865.59(-15.8%)+£18.82
Total Dividends£14,488.43
+£0
Total Interest£5.47
+£0
Total Profit from sales£10,835.90
+£0
Average monthly cash profit£255.07(4.7%)-£0.62
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance37%+0%

Cash dropped by the amount I spend on my monthly investment. I bought 15 shares at 1550.6121p costing £235.25 taking my average price to 1547.926p. Happy to say with the price at 1656p these are £16 in profit. My main holding is still 17% down and making £174 loss, although there have been £33 in dividends.

Sell price is up £840 as I didn't have as big losses here as I did in the ISA. Only 5 more weeks of year 8 to go before I can wave goodbye to the painful reminder of my gigantic DDDD:4D Pharma loss which will end up about £800 a month on average over the year. Long term performance of 4.7% is half my target, and would be even worse without the OPTI:Optibiotix dividend in PBX:Probiotix shares.


It would be nice to one day get above the injection line.


As with the ISA, still above the trend line which is still pointing upwards.

The trading account looks like this after week 377 overall and week 13 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash£281.80
+£0
Portfolio cost£1,794.51
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£1,063.12(-40.8%)-£87.61
Potential profits£0
+£0
Year 8 Dividends£8.56
+£0
Year 8 Interest£0
+£0
Year 8 Profit£283.99
+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit£97.52(+65.2%)-£8.12
Dividends£68.66
+£0
Interest£0.03
+£0
Profit from sales-£646.70
+£0
Average monthly cash profit-£6.64(-4.4%)+£0.02
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)

Half of my holdings are JLP:Jubileee Metals, so this account was hammered. BARC:Barclays also dropped 1% this week and is now 8% down, so just as I thought I might be able to sell, it's not looking so likely. I suspect it's going to take a long time to make the £647 profit I need to get back into the black on this account after the DDDD:4D Pharma disaster.


I was happy with flat, but less happy now.


Oh dear - that's going to have a very bad effect on the trend line. My recovery seems to be over.

I thought things were meant to pick up after the summer holidays? They seem to be getting worse, with most of my magic formula shares down by about 30%, and they are meant to be the best companies I could find. This isn't working out anything like I had hoped.

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