Friday, 6 April 2018

Week 139 Review - A blue week at last!

At last the rot has stopped and we have a blue week. Lots of small increases plus a 2p improvement in OPTI:Optibiotix resulted in an improvement between cost and value of £1,362. The deficit is still horribly large at £8,018 and the combined portfolio is still stuck below £70K at £69,493.

Worst performer was KIBO:Kibo Mining after a recent rally. These dropped 8%, probably as a result of the PPA not being quite as imminent as everyone expected. However, announcement of a second power generation project should be of long term value.

IQE:IQE dropped 6% in my SIPP and 13% in my ISA so the promised rally caused by closing shorts hasn't happened, even though the shorters are managing to close their positions. Very frustrating!

TLOU:Tlou Energy can't seem to revive after the re-tendering announcement. I thought it had fallen too far at 10p, but this week it dropped another 5% to 8p. At some point soon I'm sure there will be a rebound.

I thought I had purchased VRS:Versarien at just the right time, but I was wrong. A 4% slip this week took them from profit to loss. I never seem to find the bottom when I'm buying.

Thankfully a 2p rise in OPTI:Optibiotix gave me a £1,200 boost, and some 5% rises in RDT:Rosslyn Data and TND:Tandem Group also helped.

SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics had a great week, climbing 7% but still 37% down, and recent purchase N4P:N4 Pharma also climbed 7% to go 7% into profit.

JLP:Jubilee Metals has had a miserable time lately, but announcement that the Kabwe licence has been re-instated was enough to move the share price up 9%, although a long way to go before being back above water.

Share of the Week is MTFB:Motif Bio which announced the beginning of a staged submission of its NDA this week, along with waiver of the $2m fee. That saw the shares recover by 12% and go back into profit.




It's a very tiny upward-pointing line, but at least it is pointing upwards.

Here's the ISA and share accounts



Weekly Change
Cash £10.36
+£0
Portfolio cost £50,109.65
+£0
Portfolio sell value (bid price - commission) £42.557.43 (-15.1%) +£1,004.11
Potential profits £2,185.00
-£25.12
Yr 3 Dividends £44.15
+£0
Yr 3 Profit from sales £6,246.78
+£0
Yr 3 Average monthly cash profit £795.63 (18.6%) -£22.81
Total Dividends £1,223.20
+£0
Total Profit from sales £12,959.28
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £438.04 (10.5%) -£3.17
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees / Months)

Potential profits were down slightly thanks to IQE:IQE but £1,004 improvement in value from reduced losses. Not much change elsewhere.




Very tiny tick upwards.

The SIPP looks like this after week 123



Weekly Change
Cash £30.10
+£0
Portfolio cost £27,016.24
+£0
Portfolio sell value (bid price - commission) £26,744.84 (-1.0%) +£369.02
Potential profits £3,471.07
+£68.78
Yr 3 Dividends £0
+£0
Yr 3 Profit from sales £1,023.84
+£0
Yr 3 Average monthly cash profit £224.08 (10.0%) -£12.45
Total Dividends £916.10
+£0
Total Profit from sales £9,949.03
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £376.12 (16.7%) -£3.08
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees / Months)

The £68 increase in profits is all thanks to N4P:N4 Pharma, as IQE:IQE and CAML:Central Asia Metals both had small losses this week.




Not quite back in the black.

The trading account looks like this after week 89



Weekly Change
Cash £0.03
+£0
Portfolio cost £345.65
+£0
Portfolio sell value (bid price - commission) £150.65 (-56.4%) -£11.09
Potential profits £0
+£0
Year 2 Dividends £0
+£0
Year 2 Profit -£218.50
+£0
Yr 2 Average monthly cash profit -£25.59 (-88.8%) +£0.71
Dividends £1.15
+£0
Profit from sales -£241.35
+£0
Average monthly cash profit -£11.70 (-40.6%) +£0.13
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees / Months)

Oh dear. The yo-yo effect has stopped, and it's heading down.




My optimism was short lived. I fear this portfolio may be doomed!

Next week has one key event - the CAML:Central Asia Metals results. How much will the new purchase have added to profits and what will the dividend be? There may be a price rise leading up to the results, but that risks a big drop on the day. I think I'd rather it stayed at this price and then has a little spurt on the day.

No plans to sell or buy anything for a while now, so it's a waiting game.

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