Sunday, 22 August 2021

Week 315 Review - Miners crash but Optibiotix rallies

Generally this was a reasonable week, but my miners took a big hit. Thankfully OPTI:Optibiotix had a rally on Friday and ended the week 3p higher, which is worth £4,800 and blotted out the effect of the drop in miners, so the week finished with the deficit between cost and value narrowed by £3,944 to £27,485 and total portfolio value up to £119,989.

Biggest faller for the 2nd week in a row was JLP:Jubilee Metals, down 23% of my original purchase price costing £500 to potential profits. I don't know why these are caught up in the miner malaise, as they are such low cost producers they will still make huge profits at the current metals prices.

FXPO:Ferrexpo dropped even more than last week when they went ex-dividend, falling 11% this week to go 22% down since I bought them. They were in profit a few weeks ago so this has been an absolute hammering.

CAML:Central Asia Metals are another low cost producer that were caught up in the metals slide, falling 10% this week. They are still 19% up overall, but I'm glad I took out some profits before the drop. If they fall any further I'll be wanting to buy some more.

OPTI:Optibiotix are getting a bit more momentum, climbing 5% this week. I think there's a growing sense of anticipation that Sweetbiotix news isn't far away, and when that hits we'll need to buckle up.

Share of the Week is PLUS:Plus500 which climbed 8% and is only 5% down now. The rise came on a good trading update and nice hike to the dividend, so I'm hopeful these will be one of the more well behaved magic formula shares.




Not quite back up to where we were 2 weeks ago, but not far short.




Back to being tantalisingly close to crossing the trend line

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 3 of year 7.




Weekly Change
Cash £31.58

+£0
Portfolio cost £68,170.47
+£0
Portfolio sell value (bid price-commission) £57,015.22 (-16.4%) +£1,932.83
Potential profits £4,924.08
-£500.00
Yr 7 Dividends £0
+£0
Yr 7 Profit from sales £0
+£0
Yr 7 projected avg monthly profit £0 (0%) +£0
Total Dividends £1,343.15
+£0
Total Profit from sales £24,123.94
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £346.47 (9.5%) -£1.10
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees
/ Months)
Compound performance 57%
+0%

£500 drop in potential profits thanks to JLP:Jubilee Metals, but £1,932 better off despite this. Long term performance holding up but no prospect of selling anything for a while.




Still trapped in the channel




A good week next week and we may cross the trend line

The SIPP looks like this after week 299 overall and week 39 of year 6.




Weekly Change
Cash £296.52
+£0
Portfolio cost £76,342.81
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£61,116.96 (-19.9%) +£2,047.24
Potential profits £349.28
-£38.30
Yr 6 Dividends £902.77
+£0
Yr 6 Interest £0
+£0
Yr 6 Profit from sales £8,345.60
+£0
Yr 6 projected avg monthly profit £1,010.84 (26.5%) -£26.60
Total Dividends £2,969.85
+£0
Total Interest £0.20
+£0
Total Profit from sales £23,805.04
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £376.86 (9.9%) -£1.26
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees
/ Months)
Compound performance 57%
+0%

Profits slightly down thanks to the big hit on CAML:Central Asia Metals and ASHM:Ashmore Group went back to a loss too. Better news for IGG:Ig Group which climbed to £62 (6%) profit, and TLOU:Tlou Energy which also went back to profit by £69 (3%). Long term performance is good enough not to want to sell anything.




Looking a bit more promising.




So close to getting back above the trend line.

The trading account looks like this after week 265 overall and week 5 of year 6.




Weekly Change
Cash £259.74
+£0
Portfolio cost £2,374.14
+£0
Portfolio sell value (bid price - commission) £1,268.51 (-46.6%) -£36.78
Potential profits £0.00
+£0
Year 6 Dividends £0.00
+£0
Year 6 Profit £0.00
+£0
Yr 6 projected avg monthly profit £0.00 (0%) +£0
Dividends £60.10
+£0
Profit from sales £937.88
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £16.32 (8.2%) -£0.06
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees
/ Months)

Everything dropped in value this week so no sign of hope or optimism.




It's happened - we've dropped below the injection line - I may as well not have bothered!




The trend line is getting steeper every week as the fall continues.

If the current metal price malaise continues then it's not looking great for some of my biggest holdings, but there are metal shortages and production is still way below demand, so I can't see this decline continuing. The other thing I desperately need is some news from DDDD:4D Pharma, as they are my 2nd biggest holding and are down by 40% with a deficit of £5,600. Recovering that would do an awful lot to get me into a respectable position. It just needs one bit of good news...

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