Sunday, 1 August 2021

Week 312 Review - Fairly flat with no big drops

This was a better week than most of the recent ones, with no major drops and a 1p rise in OPTI:Optibiotix contributing £1,600 of the £2,613 rise. That narrowed the deficit between cost and value to £33,995 and increased overall value to £112,808.

When I say there were no major drops, JLP:Jubilee Metals fell 14% of my purchase price, but given my purchase price was so low it's not really much of a drop in real terms.

IES:Invinity Energy climbed 5%, possibly due to news of a director buying shares, as here's no other news.

CEY:Centamin reversed the recent decline by climbing 6%, but is still 9% down, which isn't what I expect from a magic formula share.

FXPO:Ferrexpo continued to impress, with a 9% increase putting them into profit by 6% after my recent buy back in, which is how I do expect a magic formula share to perform.

Share of the Week goes to TLOU:Tlou Energy who announced a joint venture deal to produce hydrogen and gave a positive project update. My ISA holding climbed 9% of purchase price, but is still 61% down. However my SIPP holding climbed 23% of purchase price and is only 6% down.




A little tick back upwards.




Still well below the trend line so I need to claw back around £10,000 to get back above it..

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 52 of year 6.




Weekly Change
Cash £35.33

+£0
Portfolio cost £68,170.47
+£0
Portfolio sell value (bid price-commission) £53,745.88 (-21.2%) +£1,031.29
Potential profits £6,524.08
-£300.00
Yr 6 Dividends £0
+£0
Yr 6 Profit from sales £3,697.33
+£0
Yr 6 projected avg monthly profit £304.36 (8.3%) -£5.97
Total Dividends £1,343.15
+£0
Total Profit from sales £24,123.94
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £349.85 (9.6%) -£1.13
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees
/ Months)
Compound performance 57%
+0%

The end of Year 6 and some, but not all of last week's losses were clawed back,   but JLP:Jubilee Metals dropped £300 from potential profits. My performance for year 6 is slightly below the long term average, but when you consider that I wrote off £3,472 worth of losses in TRK:Torotrak, MAIS:Maistro, BLCC:Block Commodities and MTFB:Motif Bio during the year, finishing with an 8.3% return is pretty good. Most of my profits were from JLP:Jubilee Metals earning £7,056, with just £113 from IQE:IQE.

Long term profits of 9.6% are very close to target. It's just a shame the portfolio is 21% down at the moment, but the market is pretty bad and my bacteria shares have been hammered.




Still way closer to injection than to cost.




Only £5,000 below the trend line which is still pointing upwards, so there is hope.

The SIPP looks like this after week 296 overall and week 36 of year 6.




Weekly Change
Cash £486.70
+£14.16
Portfolio cost £75,478.31
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£56,961.02 (-24.5%) +£1,572.08
Potential profits £930.87
+£155.35
Yr 6 Dividends £902.77
+£14.16
Yr 6 Interest £0
+£0
Yr 6 Profit from sales £7,774.62
+£0
Yr 6 projected avg monthly profit £1,028.36 (27.0%) -£27.63
Total Dividends £2,969.85
+£14.16
Total Interest £0.20
+£0
Total Profit from sales £23,234.06
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £372.57 (9.8%) -£1.05
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees
/ Months)
Compound performance 56% +0%

There was a dividend of £14 from CMCL:Caledonia Mining helping make this a record year for dividends so far at £902. It's only just over 1% of the portfolio cost, but it's better than building society interest and I still only have a small number of dividend paying shares.

Potential profits increased by £155, including FXPO:Ferrexpo going from loss to £63 profit and IGG:IG Group going from loss to £9 profit, with the rest being a small increase in CAML:Central Asia Metals.

Projected year 6 profits are dropping rapidly now I've stopped selling, but will be best ever if I don't suffer any big losses in the next 16 weeks.




Not much of a rise really, but better than a dip.




As with the ISA, I need £5,000 to get up to the trend line, but a lot more to reverse the downward trend.

The trading account looks like this after week 262 overall and week 2 of year 6.




Weekly Change
Cash £259.74
+£0
Portfolio cost £2,374.14
+£0
Portfolio sell value (bid price - commission) £1,320.69 (-44.4%) +£10.57
Potential profits £0.00
+£0
Year 6 Dividends £0.00
+£0
Year 6 Profit £0.00
+£0
Yr 6 projected avg monthly profit £0.00 (0%) +£0
Dividends £60.10
+£0
Profit from sales £937.88
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £16.51 (8.3%) -£0.06
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees
/ Months)

A small increase this week, but we're still 44% down and still miles off selling anything.




Just bounced off the injection line.




£250 is quite a lot to get back for this account to get above the trend line and try to flip it back upwards.

We're due an H1 trading update from OPTI:Optibiotix next week. I'm a little fearful, as recent updates haven't met investor expectations and although good, have resulted in a drop in share price. I know loads of things are happening and news of big SweetBiotix deals isn't far away, but I have a feeling there's more pain to be had before that happens. I don't have any firepower to top up, so will just ride it out and keep hoping.

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