Saturday, 29 October 2022

Week 377 Review - Flat as a pancake but thankfully not a new record low

A pretty flat week and happy to say that we didn't drop to a new record low, but the deficit between cost and value narrowed by a tiny £381 to £110,442 and portfolio value crept up to £70,146.

There were no big fallers this week.

NUM:Numis Corp made back some of the recent huge losses and climbed 5%, but they are still 33% down and my new "sell at 15% loss" rule failed to kick in as it sneaked down when the whole market was tanking but failed to recover when the other shares did. Basically I was too slow, and now it's too late so I have to hope they recover.

IGG:IG Group and PLUS:Plus500 tend to follow similar fortunes, and this week both went up by 6%. However, IGG is down by 10% whereas PLUS is up by 13%. Both have paid excellent dividends.

AJB:AJ Bell wins Share of the Week with an impressive 10% rise into profit. It's only 3% profit, but any share that goes positive these days is a gem.




It's been pretty flat for a while now. Absolutely no sign of any upward momentum.




Back above the trend line - but for how long?

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 13 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash £56.42

+£0
Portfolio cost £82,003.25
+£0
Portfolio sell value (bid price-commission) £28,830.96 (-64.8%) +£27.88
Potential profits £0
+£0
Yr 8 Dividends £0
+£0
Yr 8 Interest £0.02
+£0
Yr 8 Profit from sales -£995.63
+£0
Yr 8 projected avg monthly profit -£334.37 (-9.0%) +£27.86
Total Dividends £11,768.92
+£0
Total Interest £0.02
+£0
Total Profit from sales £27,098.43
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £442.91
(12.0%) -£1.18
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees
/ Months)
Compound performance 87% +0%

Possibly the flattest week ever






As with the overall chart, we've sneaked above the trend line, but not enough to move it.

The SIPP looks like this after week 361 overall and week 49 of year 7.




Weekly Change
Cash £149.19
+£55.64
Portfolio cost £96,510.40
+£189.95
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£40,438.55 (-58.1%) +£353.35
Potential profits £164.21
+£98.59
Yr 7 Dividends £10,911.87
+£103.10
Yr 7 Interest £0.01
+£0
Yr 7 Profit from sales -£3,290.88
+£0
Yr 7 projected avg monthly profit £659.55 (13.9%) -£4.43
Total Dividends £14,116.26
+£103.10
Total Interest £0.21
+£0
Total Profit from sales £20,433.75
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £402.90 (8.5%) +£0.12
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees
/ Months)
Compound performance 59% +0%

I received a dividend of £103 from CAML:Central Asia Metals and it reminded me why I like them so much. Given they now have no debt, and assuming they don't find a new mine to buy, hopefully we'll get even more. I will definitely be using some of my £2,000 pension transfer to buy some more next week as there's nothing takes my fancy in the magic formula contenders.

I received a tax rebate in my AJ Bell SIPP so I added another £50 so I could buy 1,009 shares in OPTI:Optibiotix at 17.84p costing £189.96. I want to get enough so that when I sell the ones in my share account and the ones I bought with JLP:Jubilee Metals proceeds, I will still have over 200,000 left. It means I'll need to spend £1,000 of my pension transfer buying some more. I had a wee wobble a few weeks ago, but am back feeling optimistic as the business model is still sound, it's just taking bloody ages.

Potential profits increased by £98 thanks to AJB:AJ Bell and PLUS:Plus500 increasing well, and the portfolio value went up £353 which unfortunately doesn't recover last week's losses. I seem to gain by hundreds but lose by thousands.




Very flat




Back above the tend line

The trading account looks like this after week 327 overall and week 15 of year 7.




Weekly Change
Cash £0.10
+£0
Portfolio cost £1,849.21
+£0
Portfolio sell value (bid price - commission) £671.20 (-63.7%) +£0
Potential profits £0.00
+£0
Year 7 Dividends £0.00
+£0
Year 7 Interests £0.01
+£0
Year 7 Profit -£71.73
+£0
Yr 7 projected avg monthly profit -£20.72 (-13.4%) +£1.48
Dividends £60.10
+£0
Interest £0.01
+£0
Profit from sales £154.87
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £2.85 (1.8%) -£0.01
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees
/ Months)

Absolutely no change whatsoever






Hmm - some danger that the trend line will overtake us soon unless some stonking news from OPTI:Optibiotix gives us a lift, or TALY:Tally re-floats, although that might cause a plummet.

Looking forward to getting my £2,000 pension transfer next week. I haven't got the energy to find two new magic formula shares, especially after the dismal performance of the last one, so sticking with the devils I know and splitting it between OPTI:Optibiotix and CAML:Central Asia Metals, both of which are very cheap at the moment. Historically the price drops every time I buy them - which is a tad frustrating. CAML has been very good to me, making £4,769 profits from sales and giving £2,150 in dividends. The only time I sold any OPTI was in my trading account where I made £65, but they have given me the equivalent of £20,846 in dividends with the PBX:Probiotix share distribution. It's just a shame I'm down £79,456 on my investment!

One day...

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