Sunday, 3 December 2023

Week 434 Review - Bad week but cashed in some profits selling a few Optibiotix.

Yet another bad week, but slightly self-imposed as I cashed in some profits. The deficit between cost and value widened by £3,125 to £96,432 and portfolio value fell to £106,364.

Worst performer was BLU:Blue Star Capital dropping 13% but nothing unusual about that as it goes up and down like a yo-yo, but as the spread is 18% there's no way to take advantage in the short term.

SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics proves the curse of the trading account, as I only got a small volume in there last week but a lackluster trading statement sent the shares down 13%. My recent £5,000 investment is already losing £1,292 as yet again I get it completely wrong.

CWR:Ceres Power continues the abject misery after declaring the the JV money isn't going to come in this trading year. The price dropped another 12% to go 42% down in about a month.

KIBO:Kibo Energy is a heap of rubbish and fell 11% but it's academic as they are already 100% down.

AJB:AJ Bell is another of my recent investments and dropped 8% this week. However, as I'll be investing monthly for 3 more months, I don't mind if these drop for a while so I get cheaper shares.

FXPO:Ferrexpo fell 7% for no reason.

IES:Invinity Energy also fell 7% for no reason.

Normally I save the biggest riser till last, but SAE:Simec Atlantis Energy climbing 22% is utterly meaningless so I'm getting it out of the way first. My holding is still 87% down.

The only meaningful big risers were metals and mainly gold.

ANTO:Antofagasta rose 5% possibly on the back of copper supply reducing due to problems at one of the world's biggest mines. Strange how that boosted ANTO but not CAML:Central Asia Metals.

POLY:Polymetal climbed 8%, EDV:Endeavour Mining climbed 10% and CEY:Centamin wins Share of the Week climbing 11% as gold had a great rally.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 18 of year 9.

Weekly Change
Cash £165.60 +£0
Portfolio cost £99,082.34 +£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£49,696.98 (-49.8%) -£1,249.55
Potential profits £2,147.02 -£127.69
Yr 9 Dividends £147.01 +£0
Yr 9 Interest £2.46 +£0
Yr 9 Profit from sales £0 +£0
Yr 9 proj avg monthly profit £29.42 (0.5%) -£1.73
Total Dividends £12,058.44 +£0
Total Interest £4.39 +£0
Total Profit from sales £17,298.53 +£0
Average monthly cash profit £289.11 (4.9%) -£0.67
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance 41% +0%

Very little happened. Portfolio value dropped and potential profits down thanks to OPTI:Optibiotix losing 0.5p. Value is down by nearly 50% so I'll have to switch to crimson next week unless we get a turnaround.


The decline has been going on a worrying number of weeks.


Well below the trend line now, so it's getting pulled flatter.

The SIPP looks like this after week 418 overall and week 2 of year 9.




Weekly Change
Cash £324.37
-£103.95
Portfolio cost £101,147.82
+£1,466.88
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£54,946.72 (-45.7%) -£1,867.60
Potential profits £2,340.02
-£1,393.29
Yr 9 Dividends £13.99
+£0
Yr 9 Interest £0
+£0
Yr 9 Profit from sales £1,362.94
+£1,362.94
Yr 9 proj avg monthly profit £2,983.34 (52.6%) +£2,983.34
Total Dividends £14,648.87
+£0
Total Interest £5.93
+£0
Total Profit from sales £12,198.84
+£1,362.94
Average monthly cash profit £266.39 (4.7%) +£13.53
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance 38% +2%

Lots going on here. I started off selling my small holding in EDV:Endeavour Mining in my AJ Bell SIPP because I wanted to invest in PAF:Pan African Resources before their dividend date. I sold my 31 shares at 1766.3643 making £52.37 (11.1%) profit. I used the proceeds to buy 3,471 shares in PAF:Pan African Resources at 16.9133p costing £599.95.

I also decided to sell some of my cheap OPTI:Optibiotix shares so I could show a profit. I sold 8,000 at 26.24p after buying at 9.56p and made £1,310.57 (166.1%) profit, liberating £2,087.

Half of it went on more PAF:Pan African Resources. I bought 5,771 but the price had gone up to 17.3278p. That cost £1,016.94. Happy to say the sell price is 17.4p despite going ex-dividend, so these are only down my commission. Let's hope gold stays at the current levels for a while.

The other half of the proceeds went on more JLP:Jubilee Metals as I'm hoping they have finally reached the bottom. I'm still bewildered how they dropped so low. I bought 21,568 at 5.1p costing £1,111.92. The sell price is now up to 5.1p so these are just down on commission. I now hold 213,181 JLP shares, making it my 2nd biggest holding after OPTI:Optibiotix. My hope is that I can take profits and invest them in bigger dividend paying miners in my SIPP and leave the ISA in JLP longer term. I do really need to start moving my SIPP holdings into dividend playing shares and leave the ISA for more risky investments.

The result of the selling activity was a meagre £13 (0.2%) a month increase in long term performance, showing how much profit needs to be made if I want to get back to my 10% target from 4.7%.


I'm less concerned about this chart than the ISA, although it's still pretty bad.


And so we cross the trend line - bugger!

The trading account looks like this after week 384 overall and week 20 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash £141.20
+£0
Portfolio cost £1,935.11
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£1,089.33 (-43.7%) -£8.17
Potential profits £0
+£0
Year 8 Dividends £8.56
+£0
Year 8 Interest £0
+£0
Year 8 Profit £283.99
+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit £63.38 (+39.3%) -£3.34
Dividends £68.66
+£0
Interest £0.03
+£0
Profit from sales -£646.70
+£0
Average monthly cash profit -£6.52 (-4.0%) +£0.02
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)

Hardly any change here, with a drop of £8 in value mostly down to SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics.


Looking very flat


No sign of getting back above the trend line.

It felt great to finally make some profit from my OPTI:Optibiotix holding. Granted it nowhere near makes up for the £56k loss I'm sitting on, in fact it makes that worse, but it is making a start in my strategy to move SIPP shares into dividend-paying companies. At the current rate I have another £1.5k potential profit in my SIPP which would liberate £2.5k for dividend paying shares and not dent my OPTI holding by too much. That would make sense from a risk management point of view, but I'll probably wait until I can liberate £3k.

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