Saturday, 9 December 2023

Week 435 Review - A good week and some more Optibiotix profit taken.

A really good week for most of the portfolio, and some more OPTI:Optibiotix profits banked in a fit of pique when GAW:Games Workshop tanked so I wanted to buy some more. The result was an improvement in the deficit between cost and value of £1,613 to £94,818 and an increase in portfolio value to £108,900.

GAW:Games Workshop was the worst performer, with an unbelievable 15% drop following a half-yearly trading update that was pretty good. Even if Q2 was slightly down on expectations, it didn't justify a 15% drop in share price. My holding that was 10% up is now 6% down, which is utterly devastating as it means nearly all my magic formula shares are losing money. I'm so convinced this is a case of manipulation I bought some more.

PAF:Pan African Resources dropped 9% thus contributing to my theory that I curse every stock I invest in, but I get the dividend next week which is a nice Christmas present.

EDV:Endeavour Mining dropped 7% demonstrating that all the gold miners took a bit of a hit despite the gold price staying above $2,000. These have dropped way, way down my magic formula list so I've put in a limit order to sell them, but it's 21% higher than the current price.

FXPO:Ferrexpo dropped 5% but I've given up worrying about these until the war in Ukraine is sorted.

SAE:Simec Atlantis Energy also dropped 5% but it hardly affects the value of my holding.

PLUS:Plus 500 went up 5% but my original holding is still 17% down. My recent SIPP purchase is  7% up though, so a rare bit of good timing.

IGG:IG Group is slowly dragging itself back up, climbing 6% so my holding is now 17% down. I've received 13% in dividends, so it's not doing that bad. I should probably increase my holding.

ASHM:Ashmore Group have been having a torrid time lately, but a 10% increase this week means my holding is now 30% down, or 23% down if you take off the 7% dividends.

BLU:Blue Star Capital went up 14% but that's 0.01p and utterly meaningless.

PBX:Probiotix Health climbed 1p after sitting on 5p for months, so a 20% rise is worth about £1,000 of my increase this week. My holding is still 72% down on the IPO price when I was given the shares as a dividend.

Share of the Week is AJB:AJ Bell which climbed a whopping 23% after great results. Unfortunately my holding is only £250 as I've just started buying them as my monthly investment, so it was in my interest for the share price to stay low for 3 months. This month's investment is on Monday, so I'll be buying on a spike and no doubt will lose out. I nearly switched the investment to something else, but there's a chance the share has re-rated and will continue upwards, as it's still way below the share price from a few years ago.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 19 of year 9.

Weekly Change
Cash£205.92+£40.32
Portfolio cost£99,082.34+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£50,740.72(-48.8%)+£1,043.74
Potential profits£2,135.79-£11.23
Yr 9 Dividends£191.08+£44.07
Yr 9 Interest£2.46+£0
Yr 9 Profit from sales£0+£0
Yr 9 proj avg monthly profit£37.07(0.6%)+£7.65
Total Dividends£12,102.51+£44.07
Total Interest£4.39+£0
Total Profit from sales£17,298.53+£0
Average monthly cash profit£288.85(4.9%)-£0.26
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance41%+0%

I got a £44 dividend from ASHM:Ashmore Group and much of the value increase was thanks to the 1p rise in PBX:Probiotix Health and 0.5p rise in OPTI:Optibiotix. Potential profits dropped as GAW:Games Workshop plummeted to loss, meaning my cheapest OPTI holding is the only thing left in profit in the entire ISA, and you could describe that as creative accounting given the huge losses in my other OPTI purchases. Cash went up less than the dividend due to monthly fees.

I also got 3p following a MAIS:Maistro share consolidation which leaves me with 1 share. That share cost me £124 and is worth about 10p and is not tradeable, so not surprisingly I wrote these off a long time ago.

Quite pleased that after 19 weeks I'm showing a projected profit of £37 a month from dividends alone, especially as I never used to have any dividends in my ISA.


Slight tick upwards.


Still below the trend line, but at least moving towards it.

The SIPP looks like this after week 419 overall and week 3 of year 9.




Weekly Change
Cash£557.71
+£233.34
Portfolio cost£101,776.51
+£628.69
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£56,139.91(-44.8%)+£564.50
Potential profits£1,906.92
-£433.10
Yr 9 Dividends£13.99
+£0
Yr 9 Interest£0
+£0
Yr 9 Profit from sales£1,999.45
+£636.51
Yr 9 proj avg monthly profit£2,884.24(50.7%)-£99.10
Total Dividends£14,648.87
+£0
Total Interest£5.93
+£0
Total Profit from sales£12,835.35
+£636.51
Average monthly cash profit£272.16(4.8%)+£5.77
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance39%+1%

Cash went up because I paid in my £250 monthly investment and it hasn't been spent yet, minus £16 monthly fees. 

I sold 3,932 OPTI:Optibiotix shares that I bought at 9.56p and got 26.355p making £636.52 (159.2%) profit and liberated £1,024.33. I used that to buy 11 shares in GAW:Games Workshop at 9086.856p costing £1,016.50. They went up to 9145p so are just down on commission now. A big dividend is due in January.

Sell value went up less than the ISA due to the profit taking, and good that potential profits fell less than the profits I took. Year 9 performance looks amazing because we're only on week 3, so I know there's no way I can keep that up. Long term performance only improved by 0.1% as a result of the sale. It's going to take me a long time to recover from DDDD:4D Pharma going bust.


Similar to the ISA - hoping this is the start of a little Santa rally as there's been absolutely no sign of it up till now.


Running parallel to the trend line, but need to get back above it.

The trading account looks like this after week 385 overall and week 21 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash£141.20
+£0
Portfolio cost£1,935.11
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£1,094.57(-43.4%)+£5.24
Potential profits£0
+£0
Year 8 Dividends£8.56
+£0
Year 8 Interest£0
+£0
Year 8 Profit£283.99
+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit£60.37(+37.4%)-£3.01
Dividends£68.66
+£0
Interest£0.03
+£0
Profit from sales-£646.70
+£0
Average monthly cash profit-£6.51(-4.0%)+£0.01
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)

The small gains in JLP:Jubilee Metals and BARC:Barclays were mostly wiped out by the drop in SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics, but the value went up by £5.


So flat


So far below the trend line

I still have £1,500 I could liberate from my 9.56p OPTI:Optibiotix holding so I am tempted to get another £1,000 for a dividend paying share, and IGG:IG Group are the current favourites as they have a generous dividend and seem to be recovering. The alternative is to look to my new magic formula rankings, which rates IPX:Impax Asset Management Group as the 2nd best stock after PLUS:Plus 500. They pay their dividend in March after a February ex-date, as do IGG, but I'm tempted to give IPX a try.

I won't get another work pension transfer until the end of February so can only buy new dividend shares if I sell something. Many of my original magic formula shares are now outside the top 30 ranking, so I should really sell them and buy something in the top 30. Unfortunately they are mostly making a loss. However, ANTO:Antofagasta went into profit this week. I've only had a feeble £5 dividend from them and nothing due till April, and they are ranked 61. Ideally I'd like them to climb around 6% before I sell, but I may be better off selling for a minuscule profit and getting IPX now...

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