Week 466 Review - Amazing week as Optibiotix soars 62%.

What a week! A Midas share tip for OPTI:Optibiotix sent it crazy, resulting in a narrowing in  the gap between cost and value of £19,797 to £98,848 and reduction of the gap between injection amount and value to £32,154, with total portfolio value going back above £100k to £119,523.

The biggest loser by far was PBX:Probiotix Health, which dropped 25% after uninspiring results and is now 85% down. This is going to continue to be a disaster for some time now, as there was absolutely nothing in the investor presentation that suggested an increase in sales of any magnitude.

AFC:AFC Energy gave up 7% of last week's gains and I suspect will remain volatile for a while.

IES:Invinity Energy has been on a mini surge, climbing 7% this week. My recent purchase is only 7% down now, but my original holding is still 87% down. I need it to get from 22p to 62p for the two holdings to cancel each other out and allow me to sell without a loss and liberate £1,800. However, if it does get to 62p then that suggests things are going well and I may hold them a bit longer.

TRX:Tissue Regenix have really woken up lately, and went up 8% this week so my holding is only 49% down and I can change its colour from crimson to orange/red.

CWR:Ceres Power went up 9% for no particular reason. It seems to bounce in a 30% range quite frequently. My holding is down by 5% now.

FXPO:Ferrexpo have been climbing steadily as it appears production and sales are getting back to normal. It would have been a great buy at the lowest point, but one Russian missile could end everything. My holding is still 88% down despite the 14% rise this week.

SAE:Simec Atlantis Energy has definitely returned to my normal share list and went up 33% this week so my holding is only 70% down. Considering I'd given it up as a basket case. that's quite a relief.

Share of the Week by a mile is OPTI:Optibiotix which rocketed up by 62% after a Midas share tip. Slightly galling that it's taken the Daily Mail to help me reduce my losses, but I'll take anything at the moment.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 50 of year 9.

			Weekly Change
Cash	£65.34		+£0
Portfolio cost	£104,946.57		+£0
Portfolio sell value (bid price-commission)	£53,406.98	(-49.1%)	+£10,516.44
Potential profits	£1,548.67		+£1,131.42
Yr 9 Dividends	£296.50		+£0
Yr 9 Interest	£4.87		+£0
Yr 9 Profit from sales	£536.46		+£0
Yr 9 proj avg monthly profit	£65.26	(1.0%)	-£1.34
Total Dividends	£12,207.93		+£0
Total Interest	£6.80		+£0
Total Profit from sales	£17,834.99		+£0
Average monthly cash profit	£275.13	(4.4%)	-£0.59
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees / Months)
Compound performance	39%		+0%

Massive increase in value of £10,516 and potential profits increased by £1,131, with all of that down to OPTI:Optibiotix, as JLP:Jubilee Metals stayed flat.

Up to the highest level for about 6 months, although there has been a cash injection since then.

Blasted above the trend line. Just need the momentum to continue like it did 12 months ago.

The SIPP looks like this after week 450 overall and week 34 of year 9.

			Weekly Change
Cash	£529.59		-£167.89
Portfolio cost	£110,693.69		+£235.87
Portfolio sell value (bid price - commission)	£64,067.41	(-42.1%)	+£9,280.71
Potential profits	£3,511.80		-£12.48
Yr 9 Dividends	£855.58		+£67.98
Yr 9 Interest	£4.04		+£0
Yr 9 Profit from sales	£4,684.03		+£0
Yr 9 proj avg monthly profit	£687.82	(11.3%)	-£11.92
Total Dividends	£15,490.46		+£67.98
Total Interest	£9.97		+£0
Total Profit from sales	£15,519.93		+£0
Average monthly cash profit	£286.16	(4.7%)	+£0.02
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees / Months)
Compound performance	41%		+1%

I got a £39 dividend from PLUS:Plus 500 and £28 from PSN:Persimmon, and I also did my monthly investment which has now switched to EDV:Endeavour Mining. I bought 13 shares at 1793.8313p costing £235.87.

Massive increase in portfolio value, but a small drop in potential profits as my OPTI:Optibiotix holding is still making a loss, and the 7% drop in AFC:AFC Energy offset small gains elsewhere. My cheapest OPTI holdings are down by 27% and 32%, but I will probably sell both when they move into profit as I transfer the SIPP holdings to dividend-paying companies. I have 121,610 shares in my ISA and 106,046 in my SIPP, so I would be almost halving my holding, but I need to be strict with my new strategy.

As with the ISA, a sharp up-turn

The trend line isn't as steep in the SIPP so I have a much better chance of dragging it flat.

The trading account looks like this after week 416 overall and week 52 of year 8.

			Weekly Change
Cash	£63.39		+£0
Portfolio cost	£2,073.87		+£0
Portfolio sell value (bid price - commission)	£1,391.20	(-32.9%)	+£0
Potential profits	£56.30		+£0
Year 8 Dividends	£25.36		+£0
Year 8 Interest	£0		+£0
Year 8 Profit	£328.15		+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit	£29.46	(+17.0%)	-£0.58
Dividends	£85.46		+£0
Interest	£0.03		+£0
Profit from sales	-£602.54		+£0
Average monthly cash profit	-£5.39	(-3.1%)	+£0.01
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees / Months)

Everything stayed flat in this last week of year 8. I ended up with a 17% performance on the year, which is my best ever. I only did 2 transactions all year, which shows what a rubbish trader I am. I made £283 (57.3%) on OPTI:Optibiotix and £44 (9.7%) on BARC:Barclays. I could have made about 25% on JLP:Jubilee Metals if I hadn't got greedy and tried to claw back all my long term losses on one trade. I clearly haven't learned anything though, as I could make 11% profit if I sold one of my JLP holdings now, but I know I won't do it until it hits my target 11.5p.

Long term performance is still negative, so I do need to target making over £612 profit in year 9, which is almost twice what I was able to make in year 8.

I still need copper production news from JLP:Jubilee Metals and a Croda deal for SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics.

Sitting on the trend line. Will it be above or below next week?

I really don't know if the rise in OPTI:Optibiotix will be sustained, or just start drifting back down like it has for the last 12 months. I'm just relieved that I don't have to report losses greater than portfolio value any more. That should really be my minimum goal.

I have a £2,000 pension transfer coming through next week. It the moment I'm thinking of CAPD:Capital and ALU:Alumasc. I already own CAPD in a dealing account but will sell that as soon as in profit if I also hold it in my SIPP, and I've been watching ALU for years, and they have a good dividend, so it's about time I invested. I want to increase my CAML:Central Asia Metals holding, but will do that from the proceeds of sales of AFC:AFC Energy and JLP:Jubilee Metals when they get into profit.