Friday, 23 March 2018

Week 137 Review - Oh dear. oh dear, oh dear...

This might be one of the most painful reviews I've had to write yet. Although I banked some profits this week and bought some more shares with the cash I've been saving, all the shares I bought have dropped in value and so has practically everything else. The end result is a widening of my paper losses by £5,045 making the gap between cost and value £8,036 and total portfolio value £69,475.82. It's all rather sad.

Worst performer unfortunately didn't perform badly enough for my plans. IQE:IQE dropped 32% of cost price in my ISA and 16% of cost price in my SIPP, but I needed a bigger drop to buy my bargain shares on results day. All the drop has done is wipe out a huge amount of value and allow the hedge funds to close more of their shorts without affecting the share price.

The next two worst performers are the shares I bought when IQE:IQE didn't tank as much as I hoped. MTFB:Motif Bio dropped 15% and has gone from profit ever since I bought it to an 8% loss. VRS:Versarien was clobbered by 13% and is now only 2% up from when I bought them, but at least still in the black.

CAML:Central Asia Metals was Share of the Week last week, so no surprise it tanked 11% this week.

N4P:N4 Pharma was my other new purchase this week and that's already dropped 10%.

TND:Tandem Group fell 7% despite there being no trades that day, and WRES:W Resources is drifting south again on no news, also falling 7%

OPTI:Optibiotix only dropped 5% but the 3p fall contributed to £1,800 of the week's losses.

AMYT:Amryt Pharma is also falling relentlessly so I'm glad I sold 80% of my holding a while back. It dropped another 5% this week and is now making a 6% loss.

There were very few glimmers of hope this week, with one of the lowest ever increases for a Share of the Week.

LION:Lionsgold was a contender climbing 4%, RED:RedT Energy beat it by a percent climbing 5%, and Share of the Week goes to TLOU:Tlou Energy which also climbed 5% but beats RED:RedT Energy because I have more invested.




One of the biggest ever dips in value exacerbated by the big jump in cost as profits were re-invested. That's a very, very wide gap!

The ISA and share portfolios looks like this



Weekly Change
Cash £10.36
-£2,198.04
Portfolio cost £50,109.65
+£2,783.60
Portfolio sell value (bid price - commission) £42.293.52 (-15.6%) -£2,880.58
Potential profits £2,103.79
-£1,484.46
Yr 3 Dividends £44.15
+£0
Yr 3 Profit from sales £6,246.78
+£581.92
Yr 3 Average monthly cash profit £822.63 (19.7%) +£53.09
Total Dividends £1,223.20
+£0
Total Profit from sales £12,959.28
+£581.92
Average monthly cash profit £444.43 (10.6%) +£15.27
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees / Months)

All the spare cash was re-invested along with the proceeds of my final IQE:IQE top-slice, resulting in portfolio cost going above £50,000 and increasing by £2,783. Unfortunately, the value dropped by more than that and drops in potential profits made up half the loss, falling £1,484.

The good news is that the IQE:IQE sale increased banked profits by £581 and took my long-term average up by £15 a month and I stay over my 10% of portfolio cost target comfortably despite the portfolio cost going up so much.




I don't like to dwell on the graph...

Here's the SIPP after week 121



Weekly Change
Cash £30.10
-£233.48
Portfolio cost £27,016.24
+£726.17
Portfolio sell value (bid price - commission) £26,965.29 (0.2%) -£2,178.87
Potential profits £3,383.41
-£1,165.29
Yr 3 Dividends £0
+£0
Yr 3 Profit from sales £1,023.84
+£485.19
Yr 3 Average monthly cash profit £250.44 (11.1%) +£115.75
Total Dividends £916.10
+£0
Total Profit from sales £9,949.03
+£485.19
Average monthly cash profit £382.34 (17%) +£14.34
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees / Months)

The cash got re-invested along with the proceeds of the CAML:Central Asia Metals top-slice, and that went towards my first investment in N4P:N4 Pharma which it appears was badly timed. Portfolio value was savaged by £2,178 just over half of which was reduced profits of £1,165 but £484 of that was down to the sale. Average monthly performance has been enhanced, now running at a comfortable 17% of the enlarged portfolio cost.




Amazingly it just about stays in profit. Will the lines cross or bounce next week?

The trading account is a more welcome sight this week



Weekly Change
Cash £0.03
+£0
Portfolio cost £345.65
+£0
Portfolio sell value (bid price - commission) £176.52 (-48.9%) +£14.78
Potential profits £0
+£0
Year 2 Dividends £0
+£0
Year 2 Profit -£218.50
+£0
Yr 2 Average monthly cash profit -£27.05 (-93.9%) +£0.80
Dividends £1.15
+£0
Profit from sales -£241.35
+£0
Average monthly cash profit -£11.96 (-41.5%) +£0.14
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends - Fees / Months)

Last week's losses were gained back, but it's a long way from profit.




One day I hope this graph does something reasonably spectacular

I've done so many trades over the last few weeks that I'm planning for a more quiet time now. CAML:Central Asia Metals and IQE:IQE are now under the 10% portfolio cost limit and I've increased the number of shares with more than £3,000 investments, which now comprises of OPTI:Optibiotix, IQE:IQE, CAML:Central Asia Metals, JLP:Jubilee Metals, MTFB:Motif Bio and VRS:Versarien.

It's time to sit back for a bit and wait things out...

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