Monday, 22 January 2024

Week 441 Review - Another red week despite slight Optibiotix rise

Some big drops in the portfolio this week, especially JLP:Jubilee Metals, meant a widening of the deficit between cost and value of £495 despite OPTI:Optibiotix going up 0.5p. The deficit now stands at £97,182 and drop in portfolio value to £108,570. I've introduced a new measure this week, the comparison between injection and value. That deficit now stands at £33,707.

SAE:Simec Atlantis Energy was the biggest faller at 21% but that hardly affected the value.

IES:Invinity Energy dropped 9% so the mini rally is well and truly over.

JLP:Jubilee Metals dropped 8% and was responsible for most of my losses, but I do want to buy more.

EDV:Endeavour Mining has been a disaster lately and fell another 6% to go 31% down.

IPX:Impax Asset Management started off really well, but dropped 6% this week to go to 3% loss. So much for sensible FTSE companies being less volatile!

WHR:Warehouse REIT had a bad week, also dropping 6% to go 26% down.

CAML:Cental Asia Metals fell 5% and was another big contributor to this week's fall.

CAPD:Capital appeared to be starting to creep upwards but fell 5% to go 20% down

SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics went up 7% which helped offset the drops elsewhere.

FXPO:Ferrexpo went up 10% after restoring their dividend but are still 83% down.

KIBO:Kibo Energy went up 17% but are 100% down so it made no difference

Share of the Week is CWR:Ceres Power after climbing 27% thanks to a new hydrogen contract. Unfortunately they are still 32% down from when I bought them just a few months ago. I'm hoping all the shorts have been closed and that this can start slowly recovering.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 25 of year 9.

Weekly Change
Cash £146.79 -£1.45
Portfolio cost £99,175.93 +£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£50,647.32 (-48.9%) -£41.65
Potential profits £1,943.97 +£89.47
Yr 9 Dividends £202.72 +£0
Yr 9 Interest £3.29 +£0.58
Yr 9 Profit from sales £31.44 +£0
Yr 9 proj avg monthly profit £34.50 (0.6%) -£1.33
Total Dividends £12,114.15 +£0
Total Interest £5.22 +£0.58
Total Profit from sales £17,329.97 +£0
Average monthly cash profit £285.28 (4.8%) -£0.64
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance 41% +0%

Cash only changed due to checking how much actual cash I have, portfolio value only dropped by £41 thanks to OPTI:Optibiotix, SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics and CWR:Ceres Power, and potential profits up £89 thanks to OPTI:Optibiotix.


Pretty flat for a while now.


No longer running parallel to the trend line which is a worry.

The SIPP looks like this after week 425 overall and week 9 of year 9.




Weekly Change
Cash £87.14
-£500.17
Portfolio cost £104,266.40
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£56,415.32 (-45.9%) -£408.66
Potential profits £848.61
-£262.52
Yr 9 Dividends £86.79
+£0
Yr 9 Interest £1.10
+£0.16
Yr 9 Profit from sales £3,373.97
+£0
Yr 9 proj avg monthly profit £1,650.06 (28.7%) -£206.17
Total Dividends £14,721.67
+£0
Total Interest £7.03
+£0.16
Total Profit from sales £14,209.87
+£0
Average monthly cash profit £282.90 (4.9%) -£0.67
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance 40% +0%

Cash dropped by £500 just because it appears I've forgotten to subtract my monthly investment the last 2 months. There were fewer big risers to offset the losses in this account, especially with all the magic formula shares that dropped, and most of the £262 potential profit loss was JLP:Jubilee Metals


Three weeks consecutive slide.


Going in the opposite direction to the trend line and declining for almost 6 months after that brief spike upwards.

The trading account looks like this after week 391 overall and week 27 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash £141.20
+£0
Portfolio cost £1,935.11
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£1,132.61 (-41.5%) -£45.21
Potential profits £0
+£0
Year 8 Dividends £8.56
+£0
Year 8 Interest £0
+£0
Year 8 Profit £283.99
+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit £46.95 (+29.1%) -£1.81
Dividends £68.66
+£0
Interest £0.03
+£0
Profit from sales -£646.70
+£0
Average monthly cash profit -£6.41 (-4.0%) +£0.01
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)

Big drops in BARC:Barclays and JLP:Jubilee Metals slightly offset by the rise in SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics, but still a £45 drop in value.


Starting to lose hope.


Quite a sharp drop recently just as it looked like things were turning around.

Three weeks on the trot in the red is a pretty awful start to 2024. I was feeling optimistic in the lead up to Christmas, but back to deepest misery now.

Saturday, 13 January 2024

Week 440 Review - Mixed week but Optibiotix drags the value down

A week of ups and downs, but OPTI:Optibiotix losing 0.5p dragged the portfolio down and widened the deficit between cost and value by £523 to £96,686 and dropped portfolio value to £109,567.

It's been another volatile week, with lots of big movers.

KIBO:Kibo Energy dropped 14% but it was a micro amount and didn't affect my holding, other than to make it negative as the commission is greater than the sell value.

CWR:Ceres Power has been possibly my worst ever timed investment as it dropped another 12% and is now 47% down in just a few months.

FXPO:Ferrexpo dropped 11% after a recent rally, even though the trading update wasn't bad considering they are in the middle of a war.

SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics rocketed last week for no reason, and so dropped 9% this week also for no reason.

EDV:Endeavour Mining fell another 7% as selling continued after they sacked their CEO last week. This is now 27% down and I'm really glad I sold my other holding a while back.

BARC:Barclays has been on a rally and looked like it might go into profit, but dropped 6% this week and is now 12% down, so back to square one.

IES:Invinity Energy also dropped 6% for no reason other than people getting bored.

There were some big gainers in my crappy companies list, but none of them made any difference. SAE:Simec Atlantis Energy went up 8% but is still 83% down, and RDT:Rosslyn Data went up an amazing 48%, but my holding is so worthless it went from -102% to -101%. BLU:Blue Star Capital went up 6% but is still 89% down.

My first proper gains this week were for GAW:Games Workshop which went into profit in both accounts I hold it by climbing 5%.

JLP:Jubilee Metals also went up 5% but needs to continue that momentum to get me into any sort of profit.

ASHM:Ashmore Group climbed 7% and is now only 20% down, so hopefully will continue to improve.

Share of the Week is PLUS:Plus 500, which had stellar results and went up 9%. That puts my SIPP holding up by 24% and my ISA is only 4% down and will hopefully soon be in profit.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 24 of year 9.

Weekly Change
Cash£148.24-£3.75
Portfolio cost£99,175.93+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£50,688.67(-48.9%)-£421.49
Potential profits£1,854.50-£86.82
Yr 9 Dividends£202.72+£0
Yr 9 Interest£2.71+£0
Yr 9 Profit from sales£31.44+£0
Yr 9 proj avg monthly profit£35.83(0.6%)-£2.27
Total Dividends£12,114.15+£0
Total Interest£4.64+£0
Total Profit from sales£17,329.97+£0
Average monthly cash profit£285.92(4.9%)-£0.69
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance41%+0%

Very little to report other than monthly ISA fees dropping cash. Value didn't fall too much and potential profit hardly at all.


Not enjoying every week in 2024 being negative.


Moving away from the trend line

The SIPP looks like this after week 424 overall and week 8 of year 9.




Weekly Change
Cash£587.31
-£248.98
Portfolio cost£104,266.40
+£248.75
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£56,823.98(-45.5%)-£59.83
Potential profits£1,111.13
+£344.12
Yr 9 Dividends£86.79
+£16.43
Yr 9 Interest£0.94
+£0
Yr 9 Profit from sales£3,373.97
+£0
Yr 9 proj avg monthly profit£1,856.23(32.3%)-£265.32
Total Dividends£14,721.67
+£16.43
Total Interest£6.87
+£0
Total Profit from sales£14,209.87
+£0
Average monthly cash profit£283.57(4.9%)-£0.67
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance40%+0%

I had a £16 dividend from III:3i Group and that was zapped by monthly £16 SIPP fee. Cash also went down thanks to my monthly investment in AJB:AJ Bell where I bought 82 shares at 300.0186p costing £248.75 with commission and stamp duty.

Potential profits actually went up by £344 thanks to big rises in PLUS:Plus500, JLP:Jubilee Metals and GAW:Games Workshop, and as none of my OPTI:Optibiotix shares in in profit in this account, I didn't lose any from the drop.


Similar story to the ISA, but that will change as I implement my different investing strategies between SIPP and ISA and only have my more risky shares in the ISA and dividend-paying shares in the SIPP - if I ever get the chance to sell my riskier shares from the SIPP.


Also moving away from the trend line in the wrong direction

The trading account looks like this after week 390 overall and week 26 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash£141.20
+£0
Portfolio cost£1,935.11
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£1,177.82(-39.1%)-£18.08
Potential profits£0
+£0
Year 8 Dividends£8.56
+£0
Year 8 Interest£0
+£0
Year 8 Profit£283.99
+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit£48.76(+30.2%)-£1.95
Dividends£68.66
+£0
Interest£0.03
+£0
Profit from sales-£646.70
+£0
Average monthly cash profit-£6.42(-4.0%)+£0.02
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)

The increase in JLP:Jubilee Metals wasn't enough to make up for the big drops in BARC:Barclays and SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics, so value went down by £18 and the chances of me ever selling anything for a profit plummeted.


Doesn't look to bad on here.


Looks worse on here.

The news hoped for from OPTI:Optibiotix never appeared, as usual. I don't know why I fall for it every time. Nothing ever happens and when it does it turns out to be utterly underwhelming. I'm losing patience at an accelerating rate.

Saturday, 6 January 2024

Week 439 Review - Absolute car crash across the portfolio - Welcome to 2024!

It's going to take ages to write the intro this week as so many shares have dropped by more than 5%. In fact, given there's been no reason other than it's 2024 for most of them, I'm just going to list them.

The deficit between cost and value widened by £4,787 to £96,187 and portfolio value dropped to £110,070.

Worst performer was SAE:Simec Atlantis Energy falling 13%, but we don't care about that and it made no difference to my holding which is 84% down.

EDV:Endeavour Mining sacked their CEO and fell 10% as a result, which is about twice as much as they would have fallen if they followed the pattern of everything else

AJB:AJ Bell and FXPO:Ferrexpo both fell 8%.

IPX:Impax Asset Management fell 7% and into loss.

ASHM:Ashmore GroupBLU:Blue Star Capital, III:3i Group, JLP:Jubilee Metals, OPTI:Optibiotix and PAF:Pan African Resources all fell 6% and include some of my biggest holdings.

CAML:Cental Asia Metals, CEY:Centamin, GAW:Games Workshop and PAGE:Pagegroup all fell 5%.

RDT:Rosslyn Data climbed 8%, but my holding remains 102% down and doomed.

Share of the Week was SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics which bucked the trend and climbed 14% for absolutely no discernible reason. There is still no sign of any positive news and chances are they are going to issue loads of shares or borrow loads of money to acquire 2 new companies which could see them collapse. I can't understand why they don't wait for their existing products to generate revenue before they go looking for things to buy, unless they don't think their existing products will make revenue. Never mind, not complaining while they are on the up.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 23 of year 9.

Weekly Change
Cash£151.99+£0.25
Portfolio cost£99,175.93+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£51,110.46(-48.5%)-£1,958.78
Potential profits£1,941.32-£427.31
Yr 9 Dividends£202.72+£0
Yr 9 Interest£2.71+£0.25
Yr 9 Profit from sales£31.44+£0
Yr 9 proj avg monthly profit£38.10(0.6%)-£1.68
Total Dividends£12,114.15+£0
Total Interest£4.64+£0.25
Total Profit from sales£17,329.97+£0
Average monthly cash profit£286.61(4.9%)-£0.65
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance41%+0%

The portfolio value actually dropped by less than it went up last week, so despite feeling bleak it could be worse. Potential profits took a hit and GAW:Games Workshop went to loss, and I had 25p interest from AJ Bell.


Not nice to see.


Now heading in entirely the opposite direction to the trend line.

The SIPP looks like this after week 423 overall and week 7 of year 9.




Weekly Change
Cash£836.29
+£250.94
Portfolio cost£104,017.65
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£56,635.06(-45.6%)-£2,820.32
Potential profits£767.01
-£433.60
Yr 9 Dividends£70.36
+£0
Yr 9 Interest£0.94
+£0.94
Yr 9 Profit from sales£3,373.97
+£0
Yr 9 proj avg monthly profit£2,121.55(36.9%)-£352.91
Total Dividends£14,705.24
+£0
Total Interest£6.87
+£0.94
Total Profit from sales£14,209.87
+£0
Average monthly cash profit£284.24(4.9%)-£0.67
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance40%+0%

Cash went up as I added my monthly investment but it won't deal until next week, and also added 94p interest from AJ Bell. Portfolio value was hammered way more than it went up last week, and potential profits dived as several profitable shares went to loss.


Will we ever reach that injection line?


Very bad indeed.

The trading account looks like this after week 389 overall and week 25 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash£141.20
+£0
Portfolio cost£1,935.11
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£1,195.90(-38.2%)-£8.47
Potential profits£0
+£0
Year 8 Dividends£8.56
+£0
Year 8 Interest£0
+£0
Year 8 Profit£283.99
+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit£50.71(+31.4%)-£2.11
Dividends£68.66
+£0
Interest£0.03
+£0
Profit from sales-£646.70
+£0
Average monthly cash profit-£6.44(-4.0%)+£0.02
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)

SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics soared, but I don't have many, and BARC:Barclays went up a bit, but with 2 lots of JLP:Jubilee Metals dropping 6%, the result was a red week, but only by £8.


Still pretty flat looking


No longer parallel with the trend line which is likely to change direction when we lose the lows from almost a year ago.

Let's hope this week won't be a trend for 2024, as it feels like a dreadful start to the year when so many of my "safe" shares dropped so heavily. They're not meant to move that much in a week.

I want to buy some more magic formula shares in my SIPP, but my January contribution is about £170 off the minimum to do a transfer. My only hope is the bond fund goes up by 10% by then else I'll be waiting until late February. I have some profitable JLP:Jubilee Metals shares that I could sell and liberate £2,362 but I'd only make £228 profit and I feel these are due a significant re-rate. I'd rather hold for 12p which would give me £2,614 profit and liberate £4,748, but that might be wishful thinking!

Meanwhile we still wait in vain for news from OPTI:Optibiotix. I have a feeling it's never going to come, and if it does, I bet it's a damp squib for some niche product likely to generate no revenue, like the cookies in Wallmart and Costco that we got so excited about a few years ago and turned out to be utterly valueless.

Saturday, 30 December 2023

Week 438 Review - Great end to the year mainly thanks to Optibiotix, despite cashing in some profits

A good last week of 2023 saw OPTI:Optibiotix gain 2p and JLP:Jubilee Metals gain 0.1p, and as my two biggest holdings that saw the deficit between cost and value reduce by £3,993 despite me taking some profits. It now stands at £91,339 and total portfolio value is £114,607.

There were no big fallers this week.

SAE:Simec Atlantis Energy gained 7% and seem to be attracting a bit of interest, although I'm not sure why, and IES:Invinity Energy gained 10%, but both these shares are making massive losses so I don't really pay much attention to their big moves.

POLY:Polymetal climbed by 7%, although I don't know the bid price so it's likely to be a little less, but would still qualify for mention. I long for the day they announce they are selling their Russian assets so they can re-list in the UK.

OPTI:Optibiotix climbed 8% and accounted for most of the rise this week. There was no news before Christmas so we desperately need something early in the new year. I sold some more from my SIPP this week.

Share of the Week goes to FXPO:Ferrexpo which climbed 10%. I don't know if people are thinking that if they managed to survive this long without Russia destroying them, then maybe they are OK. Unfortunately it only takes one missile to wipe out the entire company so it's still on very dodgy ground, and my holding is still 81% down.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 22 of year 9.

Weekly Change
Cash£151.74+£11.64
Portfolio cost£99,175.93+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£53,069.24(-46.5%)+£2,348.52
Potential profits£2,368.63+£399.08
Yr 9 Dividends£202.72+£11.64
Yr 9 Interest£2.46+£0
Yr 9 Profit from sales£31.44+£0
Yr 9 proj avg monthly profit£39.78(0.7%)+£0.51
Total Dividends£12,114.15+£11.64
Total Interest£4.39+£0
Total Profit from sales£17,329.97+£0
Average monthly cash profit£287.26(4.9%)-£0.54
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance41%+0%

A dividend of £11 from WHR:Warehouse REIT was a nice surprise, and the increase in OPTI:Optibiotix was the main reason for the £399 increase in potential profits as I have one batch of shares that is up by 74%. The dividend limited my overall performance drop, and helped maintain my year 9 performance at around £39 a month mainly from dividends, which isn't bad given we're almost half way through year 9.


Nice tick up, but there's a gaping gulf between where we are and the injection line.


Almost touching the trend line, and increasing at a steeper angle this week.

The SIPP looks like this after week 422 overall and week 6 of year 9.




Weekly Change
Cash£585.35
-£17.65
Portfolio cost£104,017.65
+£729.05
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£59,455.38(-42.8%)+£1,635.33
Potential profits£1,200.61
-£529.19
Yr 9 Dividends£70.36
+£0
Yr 9 Interest£0
+£0
Yr 9 Profit from sales£3,373.97
+£711.41
Yr 9 proj avg monthly profit£2,474.46(43.2%)+£121.66
Total Dividends£14,705.24
+£0
Total Interest£5.93
+£0
Total Profit from sales£14,209.87
+£711.41
Average monthly cash profit£284.91(5.0%)+£6.65
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance40%+1%

I sold 2 batches of OPTI:Optibiotix as part of my strategy to move the whole SIPP to dividend-paying shares as soon as possible. The first batch had been bought at 9.55p and I sold at 25.82p making £313.27 (154.2%) profit. The second batch had been bought at 18.88p and I also sold for 25.82p, making £398.13 (33.8%) profit. This liberated £2,030 to buy dividend-paying shares.

First I bought 206 shares in PAGE:Pagegroup for 488.8497p costing £1,024.02. I wanted to get back into these after selling my AJ Bell dealing account holding and then failing to transfer them to my ISA. I paid 10p a share more than I did last time, so ended up with a few less, but I think the same would have happened if I used the bed & ISA service.

The second purchase was IGG:IG Group which I discussed last week. They pay a great dividend and I think are under-valued. I bought 132 shares for 762.7292p costing £1,023.78. It reduced my average price to 808.46p and they are only down by 7% now, so hoping they will be profitable soon. The dividends actually mean this is at break even now.

Potential profits dropped by almost £200 less than the profits I banked, which was mainly thanks to increases in JLP:Jubilee Metals and PLUS:Plus500. Projected monthly profit for year 9 is still insane as I can't keep it up, but if I don't sell anything else in year 9 it will still be £285 a month which is about my long term average. I'm hoping I'll be selling a load more OPTI:Optibiotix and JLP:Jubilee Metals shares during the year though, and just keeping the ones in my ISA.


Getting closer to the injection line.


Still below the trend line, but going up more steeply than it.

The trading account looks like this after week 388 overall and week 24 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash£141.20
+£0
Portfolio cost£1,935.11
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£1,204.37(-37.8%)+£9.62
Potential profits£0
+£0
Year 8 Dividends£8.56
+£0
Year 8 Interest£0
+£0
Year 8 Profit£283.99
+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit£52.82(+32.8%)-£2.30
Dividends£68.66
+£0
Interest£0.03
+£0
Profit from sales-£646.70
+£0
Average monthly cash profit-£6.46(-4.0%)+£0.01
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)

BARC:Barclays and JLP:Jubilee Metals increased, but SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics dropped, so the result was an improvement of £9. Will I be able to sell BARC:Barclays soon?


Painfully slow rise.


Still running parallel to the trend line, but still below it.

I think everything is in place for a significant rally in JLP:Jubilee Metals in the New Year, so I'm looking forward to making some profits in my SIPP so I can get more dividend-paying shares. The tricky decision is what to do with the ISA, as in theory I should use that for the more risky investments. That means selling some of my dividend-paying shares so I can focus the SIPP on those. I'll buy the likes of WHR:Warehouse REIT and GAW:Games Workshop in the SIPP from my profits, and sell those companies in the ISA when they are making a profit. GAW:Games Workshop is already, but only 2%. I'll keep them until I've added more in my SIPP and probably use them for more speculative investments like CWR:Ceres Power.

Friday, 22 December 2023

Week 437 Review - Small drop for Optibiotix but little change elsewhere

Not a bad close into Christmas, but a 0.5p drop in OPTI:Optibiotix means the deficit between cost and value widened by £739 to £95,393 and total portfolio value is £109,890.

Only one share fell by 5% or more, with TRX:Tissue Regenix dropping 5% after having spent months not moving at all. I'm hoping it's a tree shake after a long period of consolidation, but we'll see.

BLU:Blue Star Capital went up 13%, SAE:Simec Atlantis Energy 22% and IES:Invinity Energy 19%, but it's a fractional amount of what I paid for them so not winning any prizes. With companies like these you don't know if it's some genuine interest, or just closing a few shorts for some Christmas cash.

FXPO:Ferrexpo have been sneaking higher each week, and this week they went up 7%. There's a long, long way to go, but I remain hopeful these will get back to their previous rate once the Ukraine war is over.

Share of the Week goes to CAPD:Capital which went up 8%. I quite like these and may buy some more if I get some SIPP funds. If bonds behave then I may have enough to transfer £2k at the end of next month. I've upped my work pension contributions from next April as I'm not quite paying enough to transfer every 4 months, and an extra 1% will fix that and guarantee being able to transfer more regularly.

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 21 of year 9.

Weekly Change
Cash£140.10+£0
Portfolio cost£99,175.93+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£50,720.72(-48.9%)-£461.65
Potential profits£1,969.55-£39.64
Yr 9 Dividends£191.08+£0
Yr 9 Interest£2.46+£0
Yr 9 Profit from sales£31.44+£0
Yr 9 proj avg monthly profit£39.27(0.7%)-£1.97
Total Dividends£12,102.51+£0
Total Interest£4.39+£0
Total Profit from sales£17,329.97+£0
Average monthly cash profit£287.80(4.9%)-£0.66
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance41%+0%

Very little happened. OPTI:Optibiotix was the main reason for the fall in value but it would have been twice that if others hadn't done well. Potential profits hardly dropped because GAW:Games Workshop and CAML:Central Asia Metals increased almost as much as my profitable OPTI shares dropped.


Feels stuck


Starting to move away from the trend line which is a worry

The SIPP looks like this after week 421 overall and week 5 of year 9.




Weekly Change
Cash£603.00
-£39.80
Portfolio cost£103,288.60
+£562.30
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£57,091.00(-44.7%)-£290.85
Potential profits£1,729.80
+£116.41
Yr 9 Dividends£70.36
+£0
Yr 9 Interest£0
+£0
Yr 9 Profit from sales£2,662.56
+£0
Yr 9 proj avg monthly profit£2,352.80(41.0%)-£588.21
Total Dividends£14,705.24
+£0
Total Interest£5.93
+£0
Total Profit from sales£13,498.46
+£0
Average monthly cash profit£278.26(4.9%)-£0.66
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance39%-1%

A lot more happened here than the ISA. I decided I wanted to buy some more PBX:Probiotix so added £460 to my AJ Bell SIPP to boost the cash. However when I tried to buy PBX it wouldn't give me an online quote or let me leave a limit sale. That's better than Hargreaves Lansdown who won't even let me trade them at all online.

I gave up and decided I should increase my PAF:Pan African Resources holding instead, so bought 2,929 shares at 16.6433p costing £499.87 to take my holding in that account up to around £1,000.

Later the same day I noticed a tax rebate had arrived, so just messing around I tried PBX:Probiotix again because the amount was so small. This time it did give me a quote, and although I would normally never do a transaction where commission is 16% of the cost, I was determined to buy some and the tax rebate seemed like free money anyway. I bought 656 shares at 8p costing £62.43. It increases my holding in my AJ Bell SIPP to 6,068 bought for an average of 7.75p. They'd almost be in profit if the declared spread wasn't so stupid at 25%.

Aside from all that the losses were really small at £290 because most things had a good week, and potential profits actually increased by £116 after rises in AJB:AJ Bell, GAW:Games Workshop, III:3i Group, IPX:Impax Asset Management and PLUS:Plus500. It's nice to see so much green in an account!


The gap's certainly not getting much wider, but the injection line remains stubbornly far above.


The trend line is getting away from us.

The trading account looks like this after week 387 overall and week 23 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash£141.20
+£0
Portfolio cost£1,935.11
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£1,194.75(-38.3%)+£12.97
Potential profits£0
+£0
Year 8 Dividends£8.56
+£0
Year 8 Interest£0
+£0
Year 8 Profit£283.99
+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit£55.12(+34.2%)-£2.50
Dividends£68.66
+£0
Interest£0.03
+£0
Profit from sales-£646.70
+£0
Average monthly cash profit-£6.47(-4.0%)+£0.02
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)

BARC:Barclays went up 4% this week but SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutics dropped 3%, but the result was an increase in value of £12. BARC is now only 9% down and may actually get to a position where I can sell in the New Year.


Not going downwards any more.


Just parallel with the trend line isn't good enough, we need to be crossing it.

OPTI:Optibiotix assured us that contracts were just waiting for people to get back from summer holidays before they could be signed. That was 4 months a go and nothing has happened. We were told an update was coming before Christmas and that hasn't happened either.

I feel vindicated that I've started selling off some of my more cheaply bought shares. If we do get blockbuster news then I still have enough of a holding to retire early, but the longer that news takes to arrive the more I'll sell and invest in companies that are actually delivering something.

It's very frustrating to feel that way after over 8 years as an investor, but I have to accept that my exposure to risk is utterly massive while I have such a big holding. Certainly in my SIPP where I'm targeting dividend-paying shares, I need to reduce my exposure to companies that promise the world but can't sell enough to make a profit.

I can liberate £1,925 from my SIPP and make £607 profit at this deflated price. It means I'll be relying on the share price getting much higher before I break even on the rest, but I'm seeing great results with the magic formula shares I bought recently using my new approach, so should be pushing more into the likes of IGG:IG Group and get back into PAGE:Page Group in my SIPP. That may very well happen shortly after Christmas.

Sunday, 17 December 2023

Week 436 Review - A great week spoiled by Optibiotix and nearly spoiled by a Jubilee Metals placing

An interesting week which saw the nearest thing to a Santa Rally on good inflation news. Unfortunately there's still no sign of an update from OPTI:Optibiotix so the share price dropped 1p. Normally that would have put me deep in the red, but a 21% increase in JLP:Jubilee Metals despite announcing a discounted placing countered the drop and I ended up pretty flat with the deficit between cost and value improving by £165 to £94,653 despite me taking some profits, and overall portfolio value increasing to £110,107.

KIBO:Kibo Energy was the worst performer dropping 13%, but it's 13% of nothing so no worries.

IES:Invinity Energy dropped 7% which is disappointing as they looked like they were on the way back up. At 27p to buy on the market, I decided to let my 50p warrants expire this week.

One of my holdings in JLP:Jubilee Metals dropped 6%. This was a purchase just after the announcement of a new joint venture that should be a game changer for the company, so I bought a load at 6.7p. After assuring shareholders in the past that there would be no more dilution I figured this was a bargain. Two days later they announced a placing at 5.5p. I can understand their reasoning for the placing, but I find it unforgivable that they didn't announce the placing at the same time as the new joint venture. On Friday morning the share price dropped close to 5.5p and I was spitting feathers. It did recover in the afternoon but I was still 6% down in one day. Hopefully this won't matter next week, but I feel let down by what seems like a dirty trick for those in the know to sell into the rise after the joint venture news knowing they could buy back cheaper on Friday morning. "Legally crooked" is the phrase used in a book I'm currently reading.

Onto the good news. CAML:Cental Asia Metals went up by 6% and put one of my holdings into profit. The rest are still down, but if metal prices don't drop then hopefully there can be a sustained rise. With a P/E ratio of just 9.5, these have plenty of room for improvement.

GAW:Games Workshop recovered from last week's big drop and went up by 7% putting my original holding 1% into profit, and my new holding 3% into profit. Happy days.

ASHM:Ashmore Group have been flying, and went up another 8% this week. They are still 24% down, but it means I can change their colour to orange from orange-red.

FXPO:Ferrexpo also went up 8%. I don't think they will re-rate until the war in Ukraine is over, and they are still 84% down, but things could be a lot worse and we can just keep hoping they remain safe.

SAE:Simec Atlantis Energy have been quite volatile lately. They went up 10% this week, but I don't hold out much hope of them ever recovering, and in my mind have written them off, but not yet on my balance sheet.

Share of the Week goes to my original holding in JLP:Jubilee Metals which went up 21% after the announcement of the joint venture. The potential income from this alone dwarfs anything we already produce, and this is just a start. There are piles of slag all over the world, and we now have a capital-rich partner to help secure it. I have 247,451 shares, which is more than I have in OPTI:Optibiotix, although they didn't cost as much. They did cost £21,259 though, so it's by far my biggest holding other than OPTI. Given I've already made £18,849 profit from my previous holdings in JLP, they have been my most successful investment. I hope the curse that tends to fall on most companies I buy doesn't fall on these!

Here's the ISA and shares portfolio after week 20 of year 9.

Weekly Change
Cash £140.10 -£65.82
Portfolio cost £99,175.93 +£93.59
Portfolio sell value
(bid price-commission)
£51,182.37 (-48.4%) +£348.06
Potential profits £2,009.19 -£126.60
Yr 9 Dividends £191.08 +£0
Yr 9 Interest £2.46 +£0
Yr 9 Profit from sales £31.44 +£31.44
Yr 9 proj avg monthly profit £41.24 (0.7%) +£4.17
Total Dividends £12,102.51 +£0
Total Interest £4.39 +£0
Total Profit from sales £17,329.97 +£31.44
Average monthly cash profit £288.46 (4.9%) -£0.39
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance 41% +0%

I wanted to bed my PAGE:Page Group shares in my ISA but tried to be clever and sold them rather than using the bed & ISA process. Unfortunately I didn't know that AJ Bell won't allow you to transfer cash from your dealing account to your ISA until a day after the settlement date - which is next week! Meanwhile PAGE:Page Group were going up in value meaning I wouldn't be able to get as many back. I decided to buy JLP:Jubilee Metals instead, and it was these shares that dropped by 6% after the placing news. I bought 16,072 at 6.72p costing £1,089.99.

I'm left with a bit of a dilemma, as I now have shares in my AJ Bell dealing account that cost £6,154 but I only have £6,200 of my ISA allowance left for this tax year. I do want to bed them into my ISA, but can't do all of them unless I take a loss or risk trying to bed more than my allowance. I think I'll play it safe and maybe bed my cheaper purchases if they get into profit.

Potential profits dropped because of the drop in OPTI:Optibiotix, and none of my JLP:Jubilee Metals shares are in profit in this account despite the 21% rise.


Heading very slowly in the right direction


Running parallel to the trend line but still below it.

The SIPP looks like this after week 420 overall and week 4 of year 9.




Weekly Change
Cash £642.80
+£85.09
Portfolio cost £102,726.30
+£949.79
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£56,819.55 (-44.7%) -£270.15
Potential profits £1,613.39
-£293.53
Yr 9 Dividends £70.36
+£56.37
Yr 9 Interest £0
+£0
Yr 9 Profit from sales £2,662.56
+£663.11
Yr 9 proj avg monthly profit £2,941.01 (51.6%) +£56.77
Total Dividends £14,705.24
+£56.37
Total Interest £5.93
+£0
Total Profit from sales £13,498.46
+£663.11
Average monthly cash profit £278.92 (4.9%) +£6.76
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)
Compound performance 40% +1%

A busy week! I got a £56 dividend from PAF:Pan African Resources, but unfortunately my holding has dropped in value by £136 as there seems to have been a sell-off after the dividend. I sold another bunch of OPTI:Optibiotix shares, off-loading 4,000 at 25.675p making £632.69 (160.4%) profit after buying them at 9.56p. I used the proceeds to buy 18,198 shares in JLP:Jubilee Metals at 5.55p on the morning of the announcement of the joint venture costing £1,021.94. These are already up 11% and making £112 potential profit.

I also sold ANTO:Antofagasta as they are no longer in my top 30 magic formula shares. I sold them for 1565.1693p making £30.43 (3.6%) profit. I invested in the company I mentioned last week, buying 198 shares in IPX:Impax Asset Management at 503.0055p costing £1,005.90. These are 2% up and making £23 potential profit in their first week.

I also had my monthly investment in AJB:AJ Bell and the curse struck again. I bought 80 shares at 309.067p after they soared last week on brilliant results, the day before news broke that they were going to have to pay more interest on cash to their customers, at which point the share price tanked. I couldn't believe it! Fortunately common sense prevailed, and the price crept up during the week. Although it's just below what I bought them for, my average is 289p so I'm up 3% on my overall holding.

Long term performance improved by £6 a month so my recent OPTI:Optibiotix sales are helping drag this back to something vaguely respectable. What's less respectable is the portfolio being 44% down on cost price.

My strategy with the SIPP is to move to dividend playing shares, so the JLP:Jubilee Metals holdings will be sold and moved to magic formula shares if they get into decent profit. I'll probably sell some more OPTI:Optibiotix too as I need to reduce the risk of my overweight position given the serial disappointment they are serving up. I may change my mind if we ever get good news on Sweetbiotix, but my faith is being severely tested.


Although moving up, it's at the same pace as the cost so not a material gain.


This demonstrates more accurately that we're worse off than last week, but that does happen when I cash in profits.

The trading account looks like this after week 386 overall and week 22 of year 8.




Weekly Change
Cash £141.20
+£0
Portfolio cost £1,935.11
+£0
Portfolio sell value
(bid price - commission)
£1,181.78 (-38.9%) +£87.21
Potential profits £0
+£0
Year 8 Dividends £8.56
+£0
Year 8 Interest £0
+£0
Year 8 Profit £283.99
+£0
Yr 8 proj avg monthly profit £57.62 (+35.7%) -£2.75
Dividends £68.66
+£0
Interest £0.03
+£0
Profit from sales -£646.70
+£0
Average monthly cash profit -£6.49 (-4.0%) +£0.02
(Sold stocks profit + Dividends
- Fees / Months)

A great week for JLP:Jubilee Metals was dampened by a drop in SBTX:SkinBioTherapeutix, with my new holding already 27% down in just a few weeks. The curse of the trading account! JLP is still 52% down so I won't be selling them any time soon. BARC:Barclays went up 2% but still have a 12% deficit to make up before breaking even.


Nice!


Pretty much halved the gap to the trend line which is encouraging.

One week until the Christmas break. I think there's a good chance JLP:Jubilee Metals will advance a little this week as they are getting a lot of media attention, and people will realise the placing will accelerate profits significantly. It's too late for OPTI:Optibiotix to give an update so that could very well continue to slide and spoil the fun at the end of the year.

At least after such an action-packed week I'll be up for a bit of a rest so will be relieved if I don't need to buy or sell anything.